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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 271 (Idalia) , Major: 271 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 271 (Idalia) Major: 271 (Idalia)

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Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

Storm Hunter
Veteran Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1370
Loc: Panama City Beach, Fl.

Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?
Sun Aug 15 2010 08:53 PM

18Z data had

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1750 UTC SUN AUG 15 2010

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE FIVE (AL052010) 20100815 1800 UTC
..........

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 31.3N LONCUR = 84.9W DIRCUR = 180DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 32.3N LONM12 = 85.1W DIRM12 = 157DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 33.0N LONM24 = 85.5W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1013MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = S
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

those interested... here's today HRD discussion from 2010 IFEX Field Program Director...
http://noaahrd.wordpress.com/2010/08/15/forecast-and-mission-science-discussion-aug-15-2010/

--------------------
www.Stormhunter7.com ***see my flight into Hurricane Ike ***
Wx Data: KFLPANAM23 / CW8771
2012== 23/10/9/5 sys/strms/hurr/majh

Edited by Storm Hunter (Sun Aug 15 2010 09:02 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Watching Wave 95L for Next Week	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 15 2010 08:53 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	typhoon_tip	Sat Aug 21 2010 08:09 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	WeatherNut	Sat Aug 21 2010 07:37 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	MikeC	Thu Aug 19 2010 08:22 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	berrywr	Wed Aug 18 2010 01:17 AM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	Fairhopian	Wed Aug 18 2010 12:30 AM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	Ed Dunham	Tue Aug 17 2010 10:17 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	WesnWylie	Tue Aug 17 2010 10:12 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	berrywr	Tue Aug 17 2010 09:58 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	scottsvb	Tue Aug 17 2010 08:38 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	allan	Tue Aug 17 2010 05:39 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	Fairhopian	Tue Aug 17 2010 05:36 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	Storm Hunter	Tue Aug 17 2010 05:09 PM
Re: Basin On Hold Again	WesnWylie	Tue Aug 17 2010 04:57 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - 16/2230Z	berrywr	Tue Aug 17 2010 12:36 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - 16/2230Z	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 16 2010 11:45 PM
Remnants of TD5 - 16/2230Z	berrywr	Mon Aug 16 2010 10:30 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - 16/2030Z	danielw	Mon Aug 16 2010 08:48 PM
Remnants of TD5 - 16/1930Z	berrywr	Mon Aug 16 2010 07:32 PM
Recon	danielw	Mon Aug 16 2010 06:23 PM
Re: Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/04Z	Hugh	Mon Aug 16 2010 12:09 PM
Re: Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/0930Z	berrywr	Mon Aug 16 2010 09:30 AM
Re: Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/04Z	danielw	Mon Aug 16 2010 04:28 AM
Remnant TD5 Analysis - Aug 16/04Z	berrywr	Mon Aug 16 2010 03:56 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	danielw	Mon Aug 16 2010 03:02 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Hugh	Mon Aug 16 2010 12:56 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	WesnWylie	Mon Aug 16 2010 12:53 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Hugh	Mon Aug 16 2010 12:43 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 11:58 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 11:46 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 11:13 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 10:52 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 15 2010 10:36 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 10:17 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 10:02 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	DestinFisherman	Sun Aug 15 2010 09:58 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 15 2010 08:53 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 08:44 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 15 2010 08:22 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 07:10 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 06:35 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 06:31 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	DestinFisherman	Sun Aug 15 2010 05:56 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 05:42 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	mwillis	Sun Aug 15 2010 05:22 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 04:39 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	orlandoweather	Sun Aug 15 2010 03:47 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	WesnWylie	Sun Aug 15 2010 03:39 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 03:27 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	WesnWylie	Sun Aug 15 2010 03:19 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	Hugh	Sun Aug 15 2010 02:22 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 08:08 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	danielw	Sun Aug 15 2010 07:46 AM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	berrywr	Sun Aug 15 2010 06:01 AM
Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa	MichaelA	Sat Aug 14 2010 03:58 PM
Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa	Ed Dunham	Sat Aug 14 2010 03:27 PM
Re: Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	MichaelA	Sat Aug 14 2010 03:07 PM
Remnants of TD5 - Are the Models Wrong?	berrywr	Sat Aug 14 2010 12:28 PM
Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa	MikeC	Sat Aug 14 2010 12:00 PM
Re: TD5 Remnants - Redevelopment in GOM?	WesnWylie	Fri Aug 13 2010 11:37 PM
TD5 Remnants - Redevelopment in GOM?	berrywr	Fri Aug 13 2010 08:45 PM
Re: Wait and Watch or Vice Versa	MichaelA	Fri Aug 13 2010 08:13 PM

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