Well, over the last several hours, Five has continued to blow up in terms of convection... but... it doesn't appear to be all that organized. Most of the deep convection - all of it, in fact - is west of the AL/FL state line just about, stretching into Mississippi and Louisiana (over land), and south into the GOM. The apparent COC is due north of Panama City by my estimation. Given the displacement of the convection... I'm going to have to change my line of thinking, and say that it's going to take awhile to get organized enough to be a TD. Rotation is very evident, but I'm not sure it exists at the surface currently.
-------------------- Hugh
Eloise (1975) - Elena and several other near misses (1985) - Erin & Opal (1995) - Ivan (2004)
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