Just pointing something out here. Most models develop the wave that "fizzled" out 24 hours from now, apparently SAL is not as strong and the satellite shows the waves moisture field a bit large and should keep the storm in tact, away from dry air and SAL. If models are right, which is a big IF, then we will have our first Cape Verde Hurricane of the season. The wave in back of the current one has little model support off and on from the GFS. The 12Z GFS doesn't develop it though. Ridging is looking more clearer as the NAO becomes positive, the GFS looks to be responding to that showing the wave that sort of weakened after exiting Africa as a category 2-3 storm hitting North Florida in 276 hours from now. It's foolish to believe it, but not so foolish to see that the models are consistent with it, hinting at a long track storm next week. It'll be interesting how the troughs and highs play out with this one. The models are now showing that the Atlantic will start to get active next week onward into the Hurricane Season.
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