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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 


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Re: The Outgoing West African Double Header
      Wed Aug 18 2010 07:54 PM

Hmmmm, that is an interesting pic with what at first glance would appear to be some weak low level cyclonic turning over or near the Isle of Pines. Then, I took a long look at a nicely zoomed loop. Though I am not sure nor have I looked at any surface obs., it appears less of an organized low level circulation, and more like some type of strong mid level surge moving rapidly off the coast of Cuba to the S.W. Interestingly, I do see what would appear to be some cyclonic turning towards the very end of the loop, and yet oddly those clouds would appear to me to be blow off and somewhat more upper level. I don't believe that any cutoff low was moving west in tandem with this wave feature however. Perhaps there is a very weak mid level turning, and that combined with the rapid low level motion ( perhaps some kind of land induced outflow boundary? ) that is moving towards the S.W., further aids in the appearance of C.O.C.

Really, given how convective the wave itself is becoming, it isn't unreasonable for the ingredients in place to potentially congeal and further contribute to what might be a slowly developing system. Will be interesting if we start seeing increased bursting of convection tonight, that is more co-located with this particular feature. It would appear to be moving WNW at this time.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* The Upcoming West African Double Header Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Aug 18 2010 07:54 PM
. * * Re: The Upcoming West African Double Header berrywr   Thu Aug 19 2010 02:39 AM
. * * Tropical Weather Analysis - 19/06Z berrywr   Thu Aug 19 2010 03:57 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Weather Analysis - 19/06Z MichaelA   Thu Aug 19 2010 08:52 AM
. * * 20N 60W Robert   Thu Aug 19 2010 09:13 AM
. * * Re: 20N 60W Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 19 2010 10:12 AM
. * * Re: 20N 60W Robert   Thu Aug 19 2010 10:32 AM
. * * Re: 20N 60W MichaelA   Thu Aug 19 2010 03:23 PM
. * * Re: 20N 60W Robert   Thu Aug 19 2010 12:03 PM
. * * la nina el nino Robert   Thu Aug 19 2010 10:04 AM
. * * Re: The Upcoming West African Double Header Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 15 2010 10:50 PM
. * * Re: The Upcoming West African Double Header Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 16 2010 12:32 PM
. * * Re: The Outgoing West African Double Header Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 18 2010 10:51 AM
. * * Re: The Outgoing West African Double Header Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 18 2010 04:28 PM
. * * Re: The Outgoing West African Double Header Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 21 2010 11:05 PM
. * * Re: The Outgoing West African Wave Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 19 2010 10:54 PM
. * * Re: The Outgoing West African Double Header mwillis   Wed Aug 18 2010 07:23 PM
. * * Re: The Outgoing West African Double Header weathernet   Wed Aug 18 2010 07:54 PM
. * * Re: The Outgoing West African Double Header ChrisS   Wed Aug 18 2010 01:33 PM
. * * Re: The Upcoming West African Double Header LoisCane   Sun Aug 15 2010 08:28 PM
. * * Re: The Upcoming West African Double Header weathernet   Sun Aug 15 2010 08:59 PM

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