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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
 


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typhoon_tip
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Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle
      Mon Aug 23 2010 03:14 AM

Danielle has strengthened to a 50mph tropical storm this evening.

I have noticed that the deep convective cloud pattern has taken on much more cyclonic banding more centroid to the apparent CDO or CDO-like feature that rather abruptly exploded 3 hours ago. It is not uncommon for early developing TCs to have center jumps toward regions where UVM is persisting (the reasons can get complicated).

In any case, what appeared to be a deep plume of convection perhaps displaced slightly W of the llv circulation axis earlier this evening has become more collocated with the on-going rigorous and persistent CDO of CDO-like feature.

Also, the TC is moving more W by WNW and this forward motion is a negative vector against the incursion of ENE shear, such that storm relative shear has dropped off. That is similar to sticking your hand out a window while driving at 10 mph, with a wind at your tale of 20mph - you only experience a wind differential of 10mph. The same arithmetic applies in the atmosphere, such that a TC moving W at 10 mph with easterly shear of 20mph, only experiences 10 mph of bulk shear; which is not sufficient enough in most cases to prevent strengthening.

Any deep layer convection in that vicinity would be compelled to move more W given the surrounding environmental flow. When the convection erupted closer to the center of circulation earlier this evening, the center was pulled W and is now being guided again by a better coupled lower and middle atmospheric dynamic, both of which are then guided by the mid-level steering.

John

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Recurve is the Name of the Game MikeCAdministrator Mon Aug 23 2010 03:14 AM
. * * Danielle RECON Vortex Message danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game berrywr   Fri Aug 27 2010 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game LoisCane   Fri Aug 27 2010 11:39 AM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game Beach   Fri Aug 27 2010 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game WeatherNut   Fri Aug 27 2010 06:24 AM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game StrmTrckrMiami   Fri Aug 27 2010 02:19 AM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 02:03 AM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game LoisCane   Fri Aug 27 2010 01:33 AM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game StrmTrckrMiami   Fri Aug 27 2010 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 26 2010 11:17 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game LoisCane   Thu Aug 26 2010 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game Clark   Thu Aug 26 2010 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game berrywr   Thu Aug 26 2010 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game WeatherNut   Thu Aug 26 2010 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game doug   Thu Aug 26 2010 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 26 2010 06:07 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game scottsvb   Thu Aug 26 2010 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 26 2010 05:29 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game Ed in Va   Thu Aug 26 2010 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game MichaelA   Thu Aug 26 2010 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game LoisCane   Thu Aug 26 2010 03:58 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 26 2010 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 26 2010 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Danielle RevUp   Wed Aug 25 2010 02:28 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 25 2010 02:40 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 25 2010 02:24 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle Ed in Va   Wed Aug 25 2010 02:19 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle LoisCane   Wed Aug 25 2010 02:10 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Danielle Storm Hunter   Wed Aug 25 2010 01:16 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Danielle berrywr   Wed Aug 25 2010 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Danielle scottsvb   Wed Aug 25 2010 12:15 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Danielle MichaelA   Tue Aug 24 2010 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Danielle LoisCane   Tue Aug 24 2010 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle WeatherNut   Tue Aug 24 2010 08:07 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Danielle scottsvb   Tue Aug 24 2010 07:26 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Danielle MichaelA   Tue Aug 24 2010 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle MichaelA   Tue Aug 24 2010 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Danielle scottsvb   Tue Aug 24 2010 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle doug   Tue Aug 24 2010 06:27 PM
. * * Hurricane Danielle danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 24 2010 04:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle MichaelA   Tue Aug 24 2010 04:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle scottsvb   Tue Aug 24 2010 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle typhoon_tip   Tue Aug 24 2010 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle Evan Johnson   Tue Aug 24 2010 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle Ed in Va   Tue Aug 24 2010 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle doug   Tue Aug 24 2010 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle berrywr   Tue Aug 24 2010 10:55 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle WeatherNut   Tue Aug 24 2010 03:32 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle Ed in Va   Tue Aug 24 2010 02:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 24 2010 02:06 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle typhoon_tip   Tue Aug 24 2010 02:03 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle WeatherNut   Tue Aug 24 2010 01:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle typhoon_tip   Tue Aug 24 2010 01:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 23 2010 08:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 23 2010 03:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle danielwAdministrator   Mon Aug 23 2010 04:00 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle typhoon_tip   Mon Aug 23 2010 03:14 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic typhoon_tip   Mon Aug 23 2010 01:44 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic MichaelA   Mon Aug 23 2010 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 22 2010 09:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic MichaelA   Sun Aug 22 2010 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 22 2010 04:34 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic weathernet   Sun Aug 22 2010 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic WeatherNut   Sun Aug 22 2010 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic typhoon_tip   Sun Aug 22 2010 03:18 PM

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