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Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

typhoon_tip
Meteorologist

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Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle
Tue Aug 24 2010 02:03 AM

Quote:

It also looks to me like a westward movement. If it does miss this weakness, will it continue westward. with it being a stronger system will it be steered more by the 200-300mb layer flow? Looking at the latest graphics from CIMSS, thats what it looks like

Track guidance beyond 72 hours is very difficult. There's just no way to know... For many runs, the numerical guidance had this weakness missing, now for a the last 18 hours (or 3 cycles worth) they have unanimously trended toward it turning smartly N and moving unimpeded right up the 50th parallel or so. The 18z runs of a few of these show an interesting bend back W around 84 hours or so, which "could" be an early indicator for troubling times ahead in the modeling.

As I was mentioning to Ed, if it misses the weakness it seems the most likely result would be a stall, or at least a very significant slowing with the potential for some meandering. The synoptic scale ridging along and off the East Coast could very well "trap" it between Bermuda and the outer Bahamas. But that is entirely supposition.

In the meantime, recent microwave passes shows a very discernible eye wall, and clear eye has developed, despite the fact that this does not show up very well in the other channels.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Recurve is the Name of the Game	MikeC	Tue Aug 24 2010 02:03 AM
Danielle RECON Vortex Message	danielw	Fri Aug 27 2010 06:19 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	danielw	Fri Aug 27 2010 05:58 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	berrywr	Fri Aug 27 2010 03:02 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	LoisCane	Fri Aug 27 2010 11:39 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Beach	Fri Aug 27 2010 11:22 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 27 2010 06:24 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	StrmTrckrMiami	Fri Aug 27 2010 02:19 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed Dunham	Fri Aug 27 2010 02:03 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	LoisCane	Fri Aug 27 2010 01:33 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	StrmTrckrMiami	Fri Aug 27 2010 01:14 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 26 2010 11:17 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	LoisCane	Thu Aug 26 2010 11:09 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Clark	Thu Aug 26 2010 10:14 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	berrywr	Thu Aug 26 2010 09:53 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 26 2010 09:08 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	doug	Thu Aug 26 2010 08:32 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 26 2010 06:07 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	scottsvb	Thu Aug 26 2010 05:30 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	MikeC	Thu Aug 26 2010 05:29 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 26 2010 05:19 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	MichaelA	Thu Aug 26 2010 04:48 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	LoisCane	Thu Aug 26 2010 03:58 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	MikeC	Thu Aug 26 2010 03:15 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 26 2010 01:54 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	RevUp	Wed Aug 25 2010 02:28 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MikeC	Wed Aug 25 2010 02:40 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MikeC	Wed Aug 25 2010 02:24 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed in Va	Wed Aug 25 2010 02:19 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	LoisCane	Wed Aug 25 2010 02:10 AM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	Storm Hunter	Wed Aug 25 2010 01:16 AM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	berrywr	Wed Aug 25 2010 12:50 AM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	scottsvb	Wed Aug 25 2010 12:15 AM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	MichaelA	Tue Aug 24 2010 09:45 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	LoisCane	Tue Aug 24 2010 08:32 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	WeatherNut	Tue Aug 24 2010 08:07 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	scottsvb	Tue Aug 24 2010 07:26 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	MichaelA	Tue Aug 24 2010 07:10 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MichaelA	Tue Aug 24 2010 07:07 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	scottsvb	Tue Aug 24 2010 06:50 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	doug	Tue Aug 24 2010 06:27 PM
Hurricane Danielle	danielw	Tue Aug 24 2010 04:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MichaelA	Tue Aug 24 2010 04:16 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	scottsvb	Tue Aug 24 2010 03:12 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	typhoon_tip	Tue Aug 24 2010 02:52 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Evan Johnson	Tue Aug 24 2010 02:43 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 24 2010 02:04 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	doug	Tue Aug 24 2010 01:50 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	berrywr	Tue Aug 24 2010 10:55 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	WeatherNut	Tue Aug 24 2010 03:32 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 24 2010 02:54 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed Dunham	Tue Aug 24 2010 02:06 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	typhoon_tip	Tue Aug 24 2010 02:03 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	WeatherNut	Tue Aug 24 2010 01:56 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	typhoon_tip	Tue Aug 24 2010 01:20 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 23 2010 08:13 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MikeC	Mon Aug 23 2010 03:35 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	danielw	Mon Aug 23 2010 04:00 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	typhoon_tip	Mon Aug 23 2010 03:14 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Mon Aug 23 2010 01:44 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	MichaelA	Mon Aug 23 2010 12:09 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 22 2010 09:50 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	MichaelA	Sun Aug 22 2010 07:44 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 22 2010 04:34 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	weathernet	Sun Aug 22 2010 04:14 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 22 2010 04:09 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 22 2010 03:18 PM

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