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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 21 (Milton) , Major: 21 (Milton) Florida - Any: 21 (Milton) Major: 21 (Milton)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

IMTechspec
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Posts: 18
Loc: Orlando
Re: TS Earl
      Wed Aug 25 2010 08:30 PM

I am a little surprised that the 18z GFS is as bullish as it is for Earl's development in the next day or two.
The upper level wind field ahead of Earl is not a storm killer, but I would not call it Friendly Skies either.

If the GFS wind forecast holds true for the next 24 - 36, it will be interesting to see how much stronger this storm gets in the near term. I am not predicting that it will not make it through, but I suspect that development will be hampered.

Looking at wind forecast data here:
Navy FNMOC

**WAIT** Nevermind, that was the NOGAPS model that I clicked on. GFS does not look as bad.

Too many irons in the fire.....


Edited by IMTechspec (Wed Aug 25 2010 08:34 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Earl Forecast Lounge and Weather Reports Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Aug 25 2010 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Earl Forecast Lounge and Weather Reports Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Sep 02 2010 10:24 PM
. * * Re: Earl Forecast Lounge and Weather Reports Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 03 2010 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Earl Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 26 2010 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Earl Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 12:12 PM
. * * TS Earl ShanaTX   Wed Aug 25 2010 05:00 PM
. * * Re: TS Earl MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 25 2010 05:55 PM
. * * Re: TS Earl IMTechspec   Wed Aug 25 2010 08:30 PM
. * * Re: TD7 Forecast Lounge Jasonch   Wed Aug 25 2010 01:15 PM

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