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Tracking 90L off the coast of central Florida. Low odds but likely blustery and very wet, regardless. Flooding the greatest risk with this one.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 286 (Idalia) , Major: 286 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 286 (Idalia) Major: 286 (Idalia)
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IMTechspec
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 18
Loc: Orlando
Re: TS Earl
      Thu Aug 26 2010 12:30 AM

I am a little surprised that the 18z GFS is as bullish as it is for Earl's development in the next day or two.
The upper level wind field ahead of Earl is not a storm killer, but I would not call it Friendly Skies either.

If the GFS wind forecast holds true for the next 24 - 36, it will be interesting to see how much stronger this storm gets in the near term. I am not predicting that it will not make it through, but I suspect that development will be hampered.

Looking at wind forecast data here:
Navy FNMOC

**WAIT** Nevermind, that was the NOGAPS model that I clicked on. GFS does not look as bad.

Too many irons in the fire.....


Edited by IMTechspec (Thu Aug 26 2010 12:34 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Earl Forecast Lounge and Weather Reports Ed DunhamAdministrator Thu Aug 26 2010 12:30 AM
. * * Re: Earl Forecast Lounge and Weather Reports Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 03 2010 02:24 AM
. * * Re: Earl Forecast Lounge and Weather Reports Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 03 2010 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Earl Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 26 2010 04:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Earl Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 04:12 PM
. * * TS Earl ShanaTX   Wed Aug 25 2010 09:00 PM
. * * Re: TS Earl MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 25 2010 09:55 PM
. * * Re: TS Earl IMTechspec   Thu Aug 26 2010 12:30 AM
. * * Re: TD7 Forecast Lounge Jasonch   Wed Aug 25 2010 05:15 PM

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