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#HurricaneBeryl making landfall on Carriacou Island just shy of #Category5 at 150 MPH and still intensifying. May soon be a Cat 5 if trends continue
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 306 (Idalia) , Major: 306 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 306 (Idalia) Major: 306 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#12 4:00 pm EDT
12.4N 61.3W
Wind: 140MPH
Pres: 956mb
Moving:
Wnw at 20 mph
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Rem Chris
ADV#4 4:00 pm EDT
20.2N 97.8W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
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IMTechspec
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 18
Loc: Orlando
Re: TS Earl
      Wed Aug 25 2010 08:30 PM

I am a little surprised that the 18z GFS is as bullish as it is for Earl's development in the next day or two.
The upper level wind field ahead of Earl is not a storm killer, but I would not call it Friendly Skies either.

If the GFS wind forecast holds true for the next 24 - 36, it will be interesting to see how much stronger this storm gets in the near term. I am not predicting that it will not make it through, but I suspect that development will be hampered.

Looking at wind forecast data here:
Navy FNMOC

**WAIT** Nevermind, that was the NOGAPS model that I clicked on. GFS does not look as bad.

Too many irons in the fire.....


Edited by IMTechspec (Wed Aug 25 2010 08:34 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Earl Forecast Lounge and Weather Reports Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Aug 25 2010 08:30 PM
. * * Re: Earl Forecast Lounge and Weather Reports Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Sep 02 2010 10:24 PM
. * * Re: Earl Forecast Lounge and Weather Reports Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 03 2010 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Earl Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 26 2010 12:13 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Earl Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 12:12 PM
. * * TS Earl ShanaTX   Wed Aug 25 2010 05:00 PM
. * * Re: TS Earl MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 25 2010 05:55 PM
. * * Re: TS Earl IMTechspec   Wed Aug 25 2010 08:30 PM
. * * Re: TD7 Forecast Lounge Jasonch   Wed Aug 25 2010 01:15 PM

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