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#HurricaneBeryl making landfall on Carriacou Island just shy of #Category5 at 150 MPH and still intensifying. May soon be a Cat 5 if trends continue

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 306 (Idalia) , Major: 306 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 306 (Idalia) Major: 306 (Idalia)

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Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

berrywr
Weather Analyst

Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL

Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game
Thu Aug 26 2010 05:53 PM

Earl is expected to be north and west of 20/60 in 120 hours. Initially models have recurvature tracing Danielle's track however not as abrupt. Earl is likely to make a much closer approach to the United States and may find itself stalled due to a number of features in play in one week. We all know model resolution at 168 hours is iffy at best. It will be 3 more days before we can really have a grasp how close Earl is going to approach; it will however be much, much closer this time around than Danielle. There is one fly in the ointment and that is 97L and maybe that impressive wave that's lighting up Africa as we speak.

Thanks to Ed and the link, I took a look at the SAL satellite imagery. A day ago the boys at NHC couldn't figure out why Danielle weakened to a tropical storm despite low shear values; it crossed through a tongue of the SAL.

The SAL has been slowly modifying while enveloped around Earl and his satellite presentation is improving and winds were raised slightly at 5pm.

Realistically, we're not going to know anything concrete for a few days and where all the major players will be.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

Edited by berrywr (Thu Aug 26 2010 06:07 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Recurve is the Name of the Game	MikeC	Thu Aug 26 2010 05:53 PM
Danielle RECON Vortex Message	danielw	Fri Aug 27 2010 02:19 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	danielw	Fri Aug 27 2010 01:58 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	berrywr	Fri Aug 27 2010 11:02 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	LoisCane	Fri Aug 27 2010 07:39 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Beach	Fri Aug 27 2010 07:22 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	WeatherNut	Fri Aug 27 2010 02:24 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	StrmTrckrMiami	Thu Aug 26 2010 10:19 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 26 2010 10:03 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	LoisCane	Thu Aug 26 2010 09:33 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	StrmTrckrMiami	Thu Aug 26 2010 09:14 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 26 2010 07:17 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	LoisCane	Thu Aug 26 2010 07:09 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Clark	Thu Aug 26 2010 06:14 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	berrywr	Thu Aug 26 2010 05:53 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 26 2010 05:08 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	doug	Thu Aug 26 2010 04:32 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 26 2010 02:07 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	scottsvb	Thu Aug 26 2010 01:30 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	MikeC	Thu Aug 26 2010 01:29 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed in Va	Thu Aug 26 2010 01:19 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	MichaelA	Thu Aug 26 2010 12:48 PM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	LoisCane	Thu Aug 26 2010 11:58 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	MikeC	Thu Aug 26 2010 11:15 AM
Re: Recurve is the Name of the Game	Ed Dunham	Thu Aug 26 2010 09:54 AM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	RevUp	Wed Aug 25 2010 10:28 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MikeC	Tue Aug 24 2010 10:40 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MikeC	Tue Aug 24 2010 10:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 24 2010 10:19 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	LoisCane	Tue Aug 24 2010 10:10 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	Storm Hunter	Tue Aug 24 2010 09:16 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	berrywr	Tue Aug 24 2010 08:50 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	scottsvb	Tue Aug 24 2010 08:15 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	MichaelA	Tue Aug 24 2010 05:45 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	LoisCane	Tue Aug 24 2010 04:32 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	WeatherNut	Tue Aug 24 2010 04:07 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	scottsvb	Tue Aug 24 2010 03:26 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	MichaelA	Tue Aug 24 2010 03:10 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MichaelA	Tue Aug 24 2010 03:07 PM
Re: Hurricane Danielle	scottsvb	Tue Aug 24 2010 02:50 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	doug	Tue Aug 24 2010 02:27 PM
Hurricane Danielle	danielw	Tue Aug 24 2010 12:24 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MichaelA	Tue Aug 24 2010 12:16 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	scottsvb	Tue Aug 24 2010 11:12 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	typhoon_tip	Tue Aug 24 2010 10:52 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Evan Johnson	Tue Aug 24 2010 10:43 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed in Va	Tue Aug 24 2010 10:04 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	doug	Tue Aug 24 2010 09:50 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	berrywr	Tue Aug 24 2010 06:55 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	WeatherNut	Mon Aug 23 2010 11:32 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed in Va	Mon Aug 23 2010 10:54 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 23 2010 10:06 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	typhoon_tip	Mon Aug 23 2010 10:03 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	WeatherNut	Mon Aug 23 2010 09:56 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	typhoon_tip	Mon Aug 23 2010 09:20 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 23 2010 04:13 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	MikeC	Mon Aug 23 2010 11:35 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	danielw	Mon Aug 23 2010 12:00 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Upgraded to Tropical Storm Danielle	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 22 2010 11:14 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 22 2010 09:44 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	MichaelA	Sun Aug 22 2010 08:09 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 22 2010 05:50 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	MichaelA	Sun Aug 22 2010 03:44 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 22 2010 12:34 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	weathernet	Sun Aug 22 2010 12:14 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 22 2010 12:09 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Six Forms in East Atlantic	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 22 2010 11:18 AM

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