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#Beryl strengthening east of the Caribbean Islands, may be a hurricane tomorrow. Barbados is now under a Hurricane Watch as Beryl may be there Monday. Area east of Beryl up to 60% and 94L at 40%.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#3A 1:00 pm EDT
9.8N 46.8W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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typhoon_tip
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Posts: 576
Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week
      Sat Aug 28 2010 12:41 AM



It's an interesting idea wrt upwelling; I did consider this but ... Danielle was one system so far in an oceanic arena that has positive anomalies in oceanic heat content over a large area - I've been toying with the idea that the SSTs are not perturbed enough by Danielle. High resolution infrared of the SSTs may shed some light, though I haven't had the time.

What I did notice though is that Danielle weakened for a stint when also passing near these same longitudes, which was also similar in spatial-temporal positioning to when Earl also encountered SAL per CIMSS. That specific commonality is what led me to thinking along the lines of more atmospheric dynamics.

Either way, I think Earl is headed toward being an impressive TC. Whether upwelling or SAL aside (probably both to some degree respectively) both factors would be escaped along this current trajectory placing Early in a region where neither would mitigate strengthening.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Earl Expected To Strengthen and Head Toward the Northern Leewards MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 28 2010 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Earl Expected To Strengthen and Head Toward the Northern Leewards Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2010 11:03 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week weathernet   Sat Aug 28 2010 09:38 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week bw   Sat Aug 28 2010 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Earl danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2010 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Earl danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2010 08:05 PM
. * * Earl Beach   Sat Aug 28 2010 03:04 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week MichaelA   Sat Aug 28 2010 01:36 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week Evan Johnson   Sat Aug 28 2010 12:30 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week typhoon_tip   Sat Aug 28 2010 12:41 AM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week scottsvb   Fri Aug 27 2010 10:49 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week WeatherNut   Fri Aug 27 2010 10:35 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 07:39 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week typhoon_tip   Fri Aug 27 2010 07:12 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week weathernet   Fri Aug 27 2010 05:39 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 04:45 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week LoisCane   Fri Aug 27 2010 02:30 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week scottsvb   Fri Aug 27 2010 02:21 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 01:57 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week Doombot!   Fri Aug 27 2010 01:27 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 10:57 AM

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