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#Beryl strengthening east of the Caribbean Islands, may be a hurricane tomorrow. Barbados is now under a Hurricane Watch as Beryl may be there Monday. Area east of Beryl up to 60% and 94L at 40%.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 304 (Idalia) , Major: 304 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 304 (Idalia) Major: 304 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#3A 1:00 pm EDT
9.8N 46.8W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Earl Expected To Strengthen and Head Toward the Northern Leewards
      Sat Aug 28 2010 11:03 PM

Since St. Croix is a bit south of St. Thomas and St. John, I'd anticipate that Earl will pass about 100 miles to the northeast of St. Croix around mid-afternoon on Monday (perhaps a little earlier). Although Earl should be a 100+mph hurricane at that time, sustained tropical storm force winds should only extend about 60 miles to the southwest of the center, so worst case conditions are probably going to be winds at 35mph gusting to 45mph - perhaps an isolated gust to 50mph. Obviously if Earl's track stays further to the south the winds on St. Croix will be stronger. When the storm passes by, let us know what the conditions were.

Added: 11PM NHC update nudges the track a little to the south, but not that much. Looks like Earl will pass about 90 miles to the northeast of St. Croix with tropical storm force winds extend about 70 miles to the southwest at that time - but thats not enough to change anything (yet).
ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Earl Expected To Strengthen and Head Toward the Northern Leewards MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 28 2010 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Earl Expected To Strengthen and Head Toward the Northern Leewards Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2010 11:03 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week weathernet   Sat Aug 28 2010 09:38 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week bw   Sat Aug 28 2010 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Earl danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2010 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Earl danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 28 2010 08:05 PM
. * * Earl Beach   Sat Aug 28 2010 03:04 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week MichaelA   Sat Aug 28 2010 01:36 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week Evan Johnson   Sat Aug 28 2010 12:30 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week typhoon_tip   Sat Aug 28 2010 12:41 AM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week scottsvb   Fri Aug 27 2010 10:49 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week WeatherNut   Fri Aug 27 2010 10:35 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 07:39 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week typhoon_tip   Fri Aug 27 2010 07:12 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week weathernet   Fri Aug 27 2010 05:39 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 04:45 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week LoisCane   Fri Aug 27 2010 02:30 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week scottsvb   Fri Aug 27 2010 02:21 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 01:57 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week Doombot!   Fri Aug 27 2010 01:27 PM
. * * Re: East Coast Wave Makers This Week MikeCAdministrator   Fri Aug 27 2010 10:57 AM

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