TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT MON AUG 30 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO... (edited~danielw)
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES HAVE CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE DAY.
HOWEVER...AIRCRAFT DATA FROM A RESEARCH MISSION BEING CONDUCTED BY THE NATIONAL CENTER FOR ATMOSPHERIC RESEARCH...AS WELL AS SATELLITE DATA... SUGGEST THAT THIS SYSTEM IS ALREADY PRODUCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN A SMALL AREA NORTH OF THE CENTER.
ONLY A SMALL INCREASE IN ORGANIZATION OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WOULD RESULT IN THE FORMATION OF A TROPICAL STORM... AND ADVISORIES COULD BE INITIATED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...90 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WESTWARD AT ABOUT 20 MPH.
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