Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 25 (Milton) , Major: 25 (Milton) Florida - Any: 25 (Milton) Major: 25 (Milton)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

ADV#10 11:00 am EDT

Click for Storm Spotlight

ADV#5 3:00 pm EDT

Click for Storm Spotlight

HypeScale: 4

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2010s >> 2010 News Talkbacks

danielw
Moderator

Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Earl and Fiona
Mon Aug 30 2010 05:27 PM

HURRICANE EARL DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
500 PM AST MON AUG 30 2010 (edited~danielw)

THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT MEASURED 116 KT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS AND
108 KT SFMR SURFACE WINDS SHORTLY AFTER 1500 UTC. THIS WAS THE
BASIS FOR THE EARLIER INCREASE IN INTENSITY. SINCE THAT TIME...THE
PRESSURE HAS CONTINUED TO DROP AND WAS DOWN TO 955 MB ON THE LAST
DROPSONDE RELEASED IN THE EYE AROUND 1700 UTC. SINCE THE AIRCRAFT
DEPARTED EARL...THE EYE HAS CONTINUED TO CLEAR AND IS SURROUNDED BY
CLOUD TOPS TO -70 DEGREES CELSIUS OR COLDER. OBJECTIVE SATELLITE
INTENSITY ESTIMATES HAVE INCREASED TO JUST ABOVE 6.0 ON THE DVORAK
SCALE AND SUPPORT AN INITIAL INTENSITY OF 115 KT...CATEGORY FOUR ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE.

THIS IS A GOOD TIME TO REMIND EVERYONE THAT NHC AVERAGE TRACK
FORECAST ERRORS ARE 200 TO 300 MILES AT DAYS 4 AND 5. GIVEN THIS
UNCERTAINTY...IT IS TOO SOON TO DETERMINE WHAT PORTION OF THE U.S.
EAST COAST MIGHT SEE DIRECT IMPACTS FROM EARL.

948mb That's not good. 1000-948mb = max possible windspeed of 127 mph.
Earl is still Above the pressure-wind relationship curve at 135 mph.

TROPICAL STORM FIONA ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082010
500 PM EDT MON AUG 30 2010

...TROPICAL STORM FIONA FORMS EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.4N 48.7W
ABOUT 890 MI...1435 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 24 MPH...39 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
NONE.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF FIONA.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR A PORTION OF THIS AREA LATER THIS EVENING OR TONIGHT.

Edited by danielw (Mon Aug 30 2010 05:32 PM)

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Fiona Forms, Earl Now Cat 4, North of the Virgin Islands	MikeC	Mon Aug 30 2010 05:27 PM
Re: Earl and Fiona	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 06:06 PM
Re: Earl and Fiona	MichaelA	Mon Aug 30 2010 05:32 PM
Re: Earl and Fiona	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 05:27 PM
Re: Earl and Fiona	MikeC	Mon Aug 30 2010 04:55 PM
Earl and Fiona	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 04:53 PM
Re: Earl oops	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 30 2010 04:35 PM
Re: Earl oops	Storm Hunter	Mon Aug 30 2010 04:16 PM
Re: Earl oops	Rich B	Mon Aug 30 2010 04:16 PM
Earl oops	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 03:57 PM
Re: 97L Update	ftlaudbob	Mon Aug 30 2010 03:34 PM
Re: 97L Update	MichaelA	Mon Aug 30 2010 02:57 PM
97L Update	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 02:37 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 02:33 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MichaelA	Mon Aug 30 2010 01:37 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Mon Aug 30 2010 01:34 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	syfr	Mon Aug 30 2010 01:29 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	shewtinstars	Mon Aug 30 2010 01:13 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 01:11 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MichaelA	Mon Aug 30 2010 12:52 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	LoisCane	Mon Aug 30 2010 12:41 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MichaelA	Mon Aug 30 2010 12:27 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 12:02 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	scottsvb	Mon Aug 30 2010 11:09 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Beaumont, TX	Mon Aug 30 2010 10:59 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 30 2010 10:47 AM
Re: Earl Just Over the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Mon Aug 30 2010 10:38 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 10:35 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Evan Johnson	Mon Aug 30 2010 10:26 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Jasonch	Mon Aug 30 2010 10:08 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	danielw	Mon Aug 30 2010 09:49 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	doug	Mon Aug 30 2010 09:41 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 30 2010 09:27 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Mon Aug 30 2010 09:20 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Mon Aug 30 2010 08:57 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 29 2010 09:37 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Joeyfl	Sun Aug 29 2010 09:29 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 29 2010 08:12 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Storm Hunter	Sun Aug 29 2010 07:44 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 29 2010 06:35 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MichaelA	Sun Aug 29 2010 05:41 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 29 2010 03:53 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	danielw	Sun Aug 29 2010 02:05 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	Ed Dunham	Sun Aug 29 2010 01:33 PM
Re: Earl	Random Chaos	Sun Aug 29 2010 01:14 PM
Re: Earl	danielw	Sun Aug 29 2010 12:57 PM
Earl Vortex Report	danielw	Sun Aug 29 2010 12:23 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	WeatherNut	Sun Aug 29 2010 12:21 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 29 2010 12:19 PM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	scottsvb	Sun Aug 29 2010 11:47 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Sun Aug 29 2010 11:30 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	typhoon_tip	Sun Aug 29 2010 11:14 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	scottsvb	Sun Aug 29 2010 09:36 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Sun Aug 29 2010 08:31 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Sun Aug 29 2010 08:20 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Sun Aug 29 2010 08:08 AM
Re: Earl Approaching the Leeward Islands	MikeC	Sun Aug 29 2010 07:42 AM

Extra information

0 registered and 56 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 29879

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center