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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4
      Fri Sep 17 2010 04:55 AM

Whoa - look at the change in IR in the last 2 hours on Karl! Clearly defined eye visible on IR with very deep convection covering about 60% of the CDO.

Recon is maybe 20-30 minutes out of another eye pass, but UW-CMISS ADT Adjusted T number is up to 5.9, or in other words a storm capable of sustaining 115kt winds, or potentially a maximum strength of a minimal Category 4 storm. Note that this is the theoretical maximum strength, and it takes time for the winds to catch up with structural changes and pressure drops.

I would not be surprised if NHC issued a special advisory following the recon pass given how close to shore Karl is.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Focus Toward Igor and Bermuda MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 17 2010 04:55 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 k___g   Mon Sep 20 2010 01:08 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 k___g   Sun Sep 19 2010 02:21 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 07:46 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 03:08 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 mikethewreck   Sat Sep 18 2010 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 mikethewreck   Fri Sep 17 2010 03:47 PM
. * * Karl Pressure rise danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 01:23 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 12:52 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 vineyardsaker   Fri Sep 17 2010 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 BTfromAZ   Fri Sep 17 2010 08:56 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 17 2010 05:51 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Random Chaos   Fri Sep 17 2010 05:40 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 17 2010 05:17 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Random Chaos   Fri Sep 17 2010 04:55 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 typhoon_tip   Fri Sep 17 2010 12:16 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Sep 16 2010 04:48 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 WeatherNut   Thu Sep 16 2010 04:30 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Random Chaos   Thu Sep 16 2010 12:03 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 JoshuaK   Thu Sep 16 2010 11:40 AM

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