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Invest 95L is now being tracked in the central Atlantic, with a 40% chance to develop and very strong model support. Those in the Lesser Antilles of the Caribbean should watch it closely Sunday/Monday. 94L at 20% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4
      Fri Sep 17 2010 09:23 AM

Over the past couple of days some of the models indicated more of a west southwest to southwest motion as the high pressure ridge situated well to the north strengthened. Movement over the past few hours has indeed been west southwest and it could be more of a trend rather than a wobble. Landfall is probably going to be just north of Veracruz - but close enough that its going to cause problems in that city.

The only better news is that changes in direction of a developed system tend to disrupt the structure for a short period as the rest of the cyclone attempts to 'catch up' with the change of center direction. This might keep the storm at Cat III rather than Cat IV at landfall - but that will not mean much to the folks living in or near Veracruz who need to immediately seek a safe haven to ride out the storm.
ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Focus Toward Igor and Bermuda MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 17 2010 09:23 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 k___g   Sun Sep 19 2010 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 k___g   Sat Sep 18 2010 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 mikethewreck   Sat Sep 18 2010 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 mikethewreck   Fri Sep 17 2010 11:47 AM
. * * Karl Pressure rise danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 09:23 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 08:54 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 vineyardsaker   Fri Sep 17 2010 08:22 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 07:34 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 BTfromAZ   Fri Sep 17 2010 04:56 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 17 2010 01:51 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Random Chaos   Fri Sep 17 2010 01:40 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 17 2010 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Random Chaos   Fri Sep 17 2010 12:55 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 16 2010 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 16 2010 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Sep 16 2010 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 WeatherNut   Thu Sep 16 2010 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Random Chaos   Thu Sep 16 2010 08:03 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 JoshuaK   Thu Sep 16 2010 07:40 AM

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