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Invest 95L is now being tracked in the central Atlantic, with a 40% chance to develop and very strong model support. Those in the Lesser Antilles of the Caribbean should watch it closely Sunday/Monday. 94L at 20% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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mikethewreck
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 52
Loc: Treasure Coast FL
Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4
      Fri Sep 17 2010 11:47 AM

Quote:

It's fairly highly populated south of the landfall point, there is a large Nuclear Power Station at the projected landfall point.




Assuming Karl hits as a Cat 3 storm, Laguna Verde (which as best I can tell by radar is taking a direct or right front quadrant hit) should come through okay. Mexico is a pretty good nuclear plant operator, and nuke power plants are designed to handle more than a Cat 3.

I worked at Turkey Point nuclear plant when Cat 5 Andrew hit (the plant was in the eyewall but thankfully in the left front quadrant). We shut the plant down in advance of the storm to reduce the heat being generated by the reactore core (which makes it easier to keep cool). The safety related equipment that keep the nuclear core cooled in an emergency handled the wind and rain without much difficulty. The NON-safety related equipment (that actually makes the electricity) was not so fortunate and suffered quite a bit of damage. One Turkey Point unit restarted one month after the storm, the second (which also needed to be refueled) took two months. The major storm damage impact was to communications and other support equipment but I hope Laguna Verde learned from our lessons and has more robust systems.

The other post-Andrew impact was that most of the Turkey Point plant staff was effectively homeless and personnel from other plants had to come help us do the repairs since many of us were trying to get our own houses in order. Hopefully the damage to the neighboring communities from the Cat. 3 Karl won't be as bad as our staff experienced in Andrew.

If Laguna Verde takes a right front quadrant hit storm surge could be the most dangerous phenomenon (no big surprise). Nuclear plants on the ocean typically are built at an elevation above any expected storm surge but wind-driven waves can reach good heights. The Andrew storm surge at Turkey Point was relatively low. I fear Laguna Verde may not be so fortunate.

--------------------
Earliest memory Hurricane Cleo!
Went under Hurricane Gloria!

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Focus Toward Igor and Bermuda MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 17 2010 11:47 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 k___g   Sun Sep 19 2010 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 k___g   Sat Sep 18 2010 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 11:08 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 mikethewreck   Sat Sep 18 2010 10:04 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Sat Sep 18 2010 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 mikethewreck   Fri Sep 17 2010 11:47 AM
. * * Karl Pressure rise danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 11:06 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 09:23 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 08:54 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 danielwAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 08:30 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 vineyardsaker   Fri Sep 17 2010 08:22 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Fri Sep 17 2010 07:34 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 BTfromAZ   Fri Sep 17 2010 04:56 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 17 2010 01:51 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Random Chaos   Fri Sep 17 2010 01:40 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Storm Hunter   Fri Sep 17 2010 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Random Chaos   Fri Sep 17 2010 12:55 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 MikeCAdministrator   Thu Sep 16 2010 09:47 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 typhoon_tip   Thu Sep 16 2010 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Sep 16 2010 12:48 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 WeatherNut   Thu Sep 16 2010 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 Random Chaos   Thu Sep 16 2010 08:03 AM
. * * Re: Karl Back Over Water, Igor Maintains Cat 4 JoshuaK   Thu Sep 16 2010 07:40 AM

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