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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

weathernet
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Posts: 296
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Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge
Fri Sep 24 2010 01:17 PM

Quote:

Is this the potential second system that some of the models are trying to show?

Yep, my thoughts exactly. Of course the convection in the S. Central Caribbean is firing up nicely, but over the last few frames, I've noticed what I thought was actually a small area of turning ( mid level ? ) right on or just inside the coastline of Northeastern Venezuela. Either way, the spacing would seem more or less probable for whatever wave that came after Matthew, might be near this longitude. It would be pretty odd to see "our side of the world", that quickly develop a 2nd tropical cyclone - that fast. This would seem to fit the GFS's recent days of runs insistence of a 2nd low forming in relative close proximity to Matthew ( obviously much closer had Matthew stalled off the C. America coastline ).

With the recent global model's insistence I'm nearly convinced at this point that we'll soon see Nicole emerge from the Caribbean. A new system could of course just as easily be farther south than where the Euro/GFS solutions were indicating that Matthew might strike South Florida ( from Yucatan area ). Should newly developed cyclogenesis truly occur, but perhaps south ( or well south ) of 20 latitude, than it would seem clear that the impact of such timing and steering might render the current Euro/GFS solution of a South Florida impact to be "bogus". It remains to be seen if such a threat might once again exist next week, or it that threat might be placed elsewhere altogether.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Matthew Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Sep 24 2010 01:17 PM
Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Sep 23 2010 03:43 PM
Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge	Thunderbird12	Thu Sep 23 2010 10:17 PM
Matthew Forecast Lounge	danielw	Fri Sep 24 2010 10:58 AM
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Sep 24 2010 11:37 AM
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Fri Sep 24 2010 01:17 PM
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Sep 24 2010 05:58 PM
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Sep 24 2010 12:09 PM
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge	Thunderbird12	Fri Sep 24 2010 06:00 PM
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge	berrywr	Fri Sep 24 2010 06:17 PM
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge	Rasvar	Fri Sep 24 2010 06:30 PM
Re: Matthew Forecast Lounge	WesnWylie	Fri Sep 24 2010 07:18 PM
Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Fri Sep 24 2010 10:38 AM
Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge	Edski	Fri Sep 24 2010 12:08 AM
Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge	Ed in Va	Thu Sep 23 2010 04:08 PM
Re: TD#15 Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Sep 23 2010 04:14 PM
Re: Lisa and The Caribbean Wave	weathernet	Wed Sep 22 2010 09:47 AM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Tue Sep 21 2010 07:26 PM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	danielw	Tue Sep 21 2010 10:08 PM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	Owlguin	Wed Sep 22 2010 08:16 AM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Sep 22 2010 08:32 AM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Wed Sep 22 2010 10:39 AM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Thu Sep 23 2010 06:23 AM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	weathernet	Thu Sep 23 2010 08:27 AM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	Thunderbird12	Thu Sep 23 2010 10:47 AM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Wed Sep 22 2010 10:10 AM
Re: Invest 95L Forecast Lounge	hogrunr	Wed Sep 22 2010 10:38 AM

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