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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

allan
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Posts: 468
Loc: Palm Coast, Florida
Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge
      Mon Sep 27 2010 06:56 PM

The situation is complicated, but the track is a no brainer. You have a nice trough digging into the southeast, bringing Florida a winter-like pattern. All that tropical moisture needs to go somewhere. As I constantly stated for days and days, whether it be Matthew or his remnants, eventually the left overs will move north. Though the complicating situation is the strength of the storm. Sure we have alot of warm water, but with so much convection and heat, it's going to be hard for it to really get going. Think of Alex.. Took 4 days to get going. I believe a weak to moderate TS will hit Florida in a few days, with a possibly more potent system for the Carolinas as it travels through the Gulf Stream. That's my thoughts on everything. I'm not ready to talk about the next system yet, too early to tell.

--------------------
Allan Reed - 18,9,5

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* TD16 Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Sep 27 2010 06:56 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge CDMOrlando   Sun Sep 26 2010 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge isobar   Sun Sep 26 2010 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Mon Sep 27 2010 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge allan   Mon Sep 27 2010 06:56 PM
. * * Re: TD16 Forecast Lounge isobar   Mon Sep 27 2010 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Sun Sep 26 2010 07:18 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge Wingman51   Mon Sep 27 2010 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Forecast Lounge isobar   Sun Sep 26 2010 07:07 PM

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