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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 277 (Idalia) , Major: 277 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 277 (Idalia) Major: 277 (Idalia)
 


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Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida
      Tue Sep 28 2010 02:43 PM

Thats very interesting that the initial fix would be at 20.2 N and 82.8 W. Not unreasonable given the area of most visible LLC rotation. However, this circulation currently would appear rather elongated and extend to the Southwest. Given the broad nature of this system, I think that it would not be unrealistic to potentially see an adjustment to the positioning. Recon will certainly aid significantly in helping to determine if this evolving system might in fact be developing closer to 19N and 85W, where convection continues to re-fire ( albeit being impacted by moderate shear ). Also will be interesting to see if the far more impressive convective area just to the southeast does in fact start to rotate around the initial position, or it turns out to be transient and decreases with time. This too, might aid overall convergence so that "whatever" LLC might better consolidate. Though near term and future motion would seem to be fairly clustered by most reliable models, the ultimate positioning of the system will certainly have an impact on how much rain or wind parts of Cuba, South Florida, Bahamas and points north might see.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Nicole Fades Away MikeCAdministrator Tue Sep 28 2010 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida MichaelA   Thu Sep 30 2010 12:51 AM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida Orion1962   Thu Sep 30 2010 12:38 AM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Sep 30 2010 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida MichaelA   Wed Sep 29 2010 11:49 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida BracGypsy   Wed Sep 29 2010 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida MichaelA   Wed Sep 29 2010 10:22 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida MichaelA   Wed Sep 29 2010 10:15 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida BracGypsy   Wed Sep 29 2010 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida Lamar-Plant City   Wed Sep 29 2010 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida BracGypsy   Wed Sep 29 2010 07:47 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2010 07:05 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2010 05:13 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? berrywr   Wed Sep 29 2010 04:30 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? danielwAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2010 04:00 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2010 03:01 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2010 02:56 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2010 02:35 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? st   Wed Sep 29 2010 02:32 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2010 12:44 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? mikethewreck   Wed Sep 29 2010 12:43 PM
. * * Re: TD16 - Subtropical? MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2010 12:17 PM
. * * TD16 - Subtropical? berrywr   Wed Sep 29 2010 06:27 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued WesnWylie   Wed Sep 29 2010 01:07 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued MikeCAdministrator   Wed Sep 29 2010 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued MichaelA   Tue Sep 28 2010 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued cieldumort   Tue Sep 28 2010 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued Josh Delsman   Tue Sep 28 2010 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued Josh Delsman   Tue Sep 28 2010 07:33 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued crpeavley   Tue Sep 28 2010 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued Steve H1   Tue Sep 28 2010 07:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 06:49 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued crpeavley   Tue Sep 28 2010 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 16 Forms in Caribbean Watches/Warnings Issued MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida NewWatcher   Tue Sep 28 2010 06:37 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida WPBSUE   Tue Sep 28 2010 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida Joeyfl   Tue Sep 28 2010 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida k___g   Tue Sep 28 2010 05:14 PM
. * * Watches and Warnings are Up danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 03:23 PM
. * * TD 16 almost Nicole danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 03:11 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida scottsvb   Tue Sep 28 2010 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida NewWatcher   Tue Sep 28 2010 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida weathernet   Tue Sep 28 2010 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida danielwAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida MikeCAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida allan   Tue Sep 28 2010 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Western Caribbean May Form Today. Rain For Southeast Florida Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Sep 28 2010 02:06 PM

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