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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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danielwAdministrator
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
98L
      Sat Oct 09 2010 06:23 PM

Recent satellite imagery is indicating a decrease in the convection in the western band and a CHT, convective hot tower, developing to the NE of the CoC.
Almost appeared to be a shift in power... drawing energy from the western convective band and building the CHT near the center.
Current CoC near 13.0N/ 81.0W, using the wv loop. Or about 45 miles ENE of San Andreas Island.
Current CHT near 13.2N/ 80.4W


ICAO : SKSP
Station Name : San Andres Island
Country : Colombia
Location : 12.57N 81.72W
Time : 9 / 22:00Z
Temperature : 77.0
Dew Point : 75.2
RH : 94
Heat Index : 77.9
Wind : N (360) at 9 mph
Visibility : 3.7 miles
Pressure : 1008.8
Sky Condition : Scattered clouds at 1200ft, Broken clouds at 7000ft
Weather : Drizzle
Wind Chill : N/A
Remarks :
METAR : SKSP 092200Z 36008KT 6000 DZ SCT012 BKN070 25/24 A2979 RMK WSRWY06

System seems to be elongated from SSW to NNE.
Latest 98L surface plot from Coolwx.com

Buoy 42057 is 232nm NNW of the CoC and is reporting continuous increases in wind speed over the last hour. With 5 degree drop in air temperature... raining.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42057
Station 42057
NDBC
Location: 16.834N 81.501W
Conditions as of:
Sat, 9 Oct 2010 21:50:00 UTC
Winds: NNE (30°) at 25.3 kt gusting to 29.1 kt
Significant Wave Height: 5.6 ft
Dominant Wave Period: 7 sec
Atmospheric Pressure: 29.84 in and falling
Air Temperature: 78.1 F
Dew Point: 74.7 F
Water Temperature: 84.2 F


Edited by danielw (Sat Oct 09 2010 06:45 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Otto and the West Caribbean Invest 98L MikeCAdministrator Sat Oct 09 2010 06:23 PM
. * * West Caribbean Invest 98L danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 10 2010 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Otto and the West Caribbean Invest 98L CaneTrackerInSoFl   Sun Oct 10 2010 04:27 PM
. * * 98L danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2010 06:23 PM
. * * Re: STS Otto WesnWylie   Sat Oct 09 2010 04:44 PM
. * * Re: STS Otto Owlguin   Sat Oct 09 2010 03:25 PM
. * * Re: STS Otto M.A.   Sat Oct 09 2010 01:45 PM
. * * Re: STS Otto M.A.   Fri Oct 08 2010 02:37 PM
. * * Re: STS Otto WeatherNut   Fri Oct 08 2010 10:43 AM
. * * STS Otto danielwAdministrator   Thu Oct 07 2010 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression #17 Forms Northeast of Caribbean weathernet   Wed Oct 06 2010 07:12 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression #17 Forms Northeast of Caribbean Bloodstar   Wed Oct 06 2010 04:36 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression #17 Forms Northeast of Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 06 2010 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Subtropical Depression #17 Forms Northeast of Caribbean vineyardsaker   Wed Oct 06 2010 11:59 AM
. * * Re: October Continued berrywr   Wed Oct 06 2010 12:03 AM
. * * Re: October Continued weathernet   Tue Oct 05 2010 05:39 PM
. * * Re: October Continued IsoFlame   Tue Oct 05 2010 03:51 PM
. * * Re: October Continued MichaelA   Tue Oct 05 2010 02:41 PM
. * * Re: October Continued weathernet   Tue Oct 05 2010 12:35 PM
. * * Re: October Continued IsoFlame   Tue Oct 05 2010 11:02 AM
. * * Re: October Continued MichaelA   Mon Oct 04 2010 04:53 PM

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