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T.D. Pamela sending abundant moisture into TX and OK w flooding rains likely as well as severe Tstorms and tornadoes possible.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 34 (Nicholas) , Major: 49 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1103 (Michael) Major: 1103 (Michael)

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Re: Area of Interest - Paula
      Mon Oct 11 2010 06:41 PM

Yep Michael, could'nt agree more. An even greater concern with an intensifying system that might only feel a slight tug from the near term short wave, is if Paula should deepen just enough to in fact be pulled to the north of W. Cuba, and then just sit or meander/drift north or eastward awaiting the stronger digging front later in the cycle. Such a set up would situate the Florida Keys in the N.E. sector ( not to mention the waves of moisture pulled north over Western Cuba and S. Florida ). Will be interesting to see how much of a dynamic Paula's own upper anticyclone plays in warming the environment and further shoving the westerlies northward.

Very eager to see how quickly model support comes together on speed and motion, now that we have a finite vortex with a true initial fix. I imagine we'll have more planes flying in and around this one than typical. Close enough to garner a tremendous amount of data ( along with enough accurate downstream data taken over the Conus ). I'm guessing NHC will likely hone in pretty well on Paula's future track by the early runs tomorrow.

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Oct 11 2010 11:29 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - Paula Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Oct 11 2010 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Paula berrywr   Mon Oct 11 2010 05:33 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Paula MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 05:38 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Paula weathernet   Mon Oct 11 2010 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Paula IsoFlame   Tue Oct 12 2010 06:29 AM

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