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Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
Re: Paula RECON
      Tue Oct 12 2010 05:14 AM

Satellite presentation has been pretty impressive all night with -80 tops. Depending on which satellite enhancement one looks at, one could nearly argue the outline of a warm spot and potential developing eye. Other observation is that it would appear that Paula is already moving on a more NNW motion. Any guesses whether we have a vortex message and center fix prior to the 2:00am update? By presentation alone, am going to guess that over the next couple of hours, the plane finds pressures as low as 988mb.

Now that the 0Z GFS is out, am curious as to how Paula was initialized. It would seem to me that it was not quite initialized as a 994mb low, and thus might no be entirely representative of how a deeper system might be impacted by current and near term steering. On another note, it is interesting how the new 0Z NOGAPS model would appear to carry Paula a little farther to the north ( near the lower Keys ) at the point where nearly all steering breaks down.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Small Paula Likely to stay south of Florida MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 12 2010 05:14 AM
. * * Re: Small Paula Likely to stay south of Florida Hurric   Tue Oct 19 2010 02:17 AM
. * * Paula.... Gone! danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 15 2010 02:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys cieldumort   Thu Oct 14 2010 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys Beach   Thu Oct 14 2010 12:10 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys doug   Wed Oct 13 2010 07:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 13 2010 04:20 PM
. * * Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 13 2010 03:57 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON weathernet   Wed Oct 13 2010 03:10 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON weathernet   Wed Oct 13 2010 02:03 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON k___g   Tue Oct 12 2010 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 08:58 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Mike V   Tue Oct 12 2010 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Weather Mania   Tue Oct 12 2010 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON doug   Tue Oct 12 2010 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 07:27 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Mike V   Tue Oct 12 2010 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MichaelA   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Bloodstar   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:35 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MichaelA   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON cieldumort   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:27 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Bloodstar   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 06:56 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:22 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON weathernet   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:14 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON WeatherNut   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:10 AM
. * * Paula RECON danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 04:54 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean OrlandoDan   Mon Oct 11 2010 08:40 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean CaneTrackerInSoFl   Mon Oct 11 2010 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Oct 11 2010 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 07:48 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 05:08 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Oct 11 2010 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 01:40 PM

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