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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Paula RECON
      Tue Oct 12 2010 03:27 PM

Quote:

For you gurus out here, with Paula being stronger and all the discussion and flip flop of the models, is it reasonable to assume that South Fla could now be in its sights?



There's some discussion of this in the forecast lounge, but in general it's still not likely to affect S. Florida much, or if it did reach it would be on the weak side due to shear and fast moving, so likely not too much of a flood threat.

You can see the shear in the Gulf on the system now with the Water vapor loop. This would force it to the east quickly and tear up the system.

The system is in the cone, and some of the GFS suite and NOGAPS models have it approaching S. Florida, but the majority of everything else keeps it far to the south. It's a small system and uncertainty is high, that fact alone makes it worth watching closely.

But in general, for south Florida, since it is in the "cone" it is worth watching, but right now it still isn't very likely to do much.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Small Paula Likely to stay south of Florida MikeCAdministrator Tue Oct 12 2010 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Small Paula Likely to stay south of Florida Hurric   Mon Oct 18 2010 10:17 PM
. * * Paula.... Gone! danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 15 2010 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys cieldumort   Thu Oct 14 2010 01:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys Beach   Thu Oct 14 2010 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys doug   Wed Oct 13 2010 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 13 2010 12:20 PM
. * * Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 13 2010 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON weathernet   Wed Oct 13 2010 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON weathernet   Wed Oct 13 2010 10:03 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON k___g   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Mike V   Tue Oct 12 2010 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Weather Mania   Tue Oct 12 2010 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON doug   Tue Oct 12 2010 03:29 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Mike V   Tue Oct 12 2010 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MichaelA   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Bloodstar   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MichaelA   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON cieldumort   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Bloodstar   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 02:56 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON weathernet   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON WeatherNut   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:10 AM
. * * Paula RECON danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean OrlandoDan   Mon Oct 11 2010 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean CaneTrackerInSoFl   Mon Oct 11 2010 04:22 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Oct 11 2010 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Oct 11 2010 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 09:40 AM

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