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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 307 (Idalia) , Major: 307 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 307 (Idalia) Major: 307 (Idalia)
16.2N 72.7W
Wind: 150MPH
Pres: 947mb
Moving:
Wnw at 22 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge

MichaelA
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Paula Forecast Lounge
      Tue Oct 12 2010 10:42 PM

Simply looking at the WV loops this evening, I'm thinking a track through the Florida Straights or along the North coast of Cuba is not out of the question. It definitely looks like Paula is moving into the southwesterly shear now. The trough over the GoM is only bottoming out at about 27ºN, so it may not be deep enough to kick Paula northeastward in the near term, but looking at the HDW-high wind analysis, I still lean to the NE through the Straights or along the north coast of Cuba scenario.

--------------------
Michael

PWS

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Paula Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Tue Oct 12 2010 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 09:22 PM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Mon Oct 11 2010 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Tue Oct 12 2010 10:42 PM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge WesnWylie   Wed Oct 13 2010 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge Owlguin   Wed Oct 13 2010 12:01 PM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge doug   Wed Oct 13 2010 01:45 PM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge weathernet   Tue Oct 12 2010 02:01 AM
. * * Re: Paula Forecast Lounge weathernet   Tue Oct 12 2010 10:59 AM

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