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Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
Re: Paula RECON
      Wed Oct 13 2010 10:03 AM

Hard to believe Paula has survived the night with its core circulation still quite intact. Morning satellite today does not yet offer evidence of shear having taken its toll - yet. Such however should start occuring really quite soon. Best chance for Paula to maintain a fair amount of its current structure ( and strength ) would be for it to soon make that move to the northeast. If the storm can maintain its deep convection and the faster its forward motion is, then the longer Paula will perhaps be able to hang on to any semblance of a minimal hurricane or tropical storm. This mornings models have all shifted northward and will be interesting to see where Paula is at 1800Z today, as compared to the next forecast point of 21.5N and 85.8W ( at approx. 1:00pm this afternoon ). Finally, it is interesting to note that looking at the current water vapor loop of Florida and the Caribbean, the mid level ridging over East/Central Caribbean appears to be expanding westward ( and possibly slightly northward ), basically filling in Paola's wake.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Small Paula Likely to stay south of Florida MikeCAdministrator Wed Oct 13 2010 10:03 AM
. * * Re: Small Paula Likely to stay south of Florida Hurric   Mon Oct 18 2010 10:17 PM
. * * Paula.... Gone! danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 15 2010 10:37 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys cieldumort   Thu Oct 14 2010 01:37 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys Beach   Thu Oct 14 2010 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys doug   Wed Oct 13 2010 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 13 2010 12:20 PM
. * * Tropical Storm Watch for a portion of the Florida Keys danielwAdministrator   Wed Oct 13 2010 11:57 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON weathernet   Wed Oct 13 2010 11:10 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON weathernet   Wed Oct 13 2010 10:03 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON k___g   Tue Oct 12 2010 05:32 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Mike V   Tue Oct 12 2010 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Weather Mania   Tue Oct 12 2010 03:54 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON doug   Tue Oct 12 2010 03:29 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Mike V   Tue Oct 12 2010 03:16 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MichaelA   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Bloodstar   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:35 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON MichaelA   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON cieldumort   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:27 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON Bloodstar   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Paula RECON danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 02:56 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:22 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON weathernet   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:14 AM
. * * Re: Paula RECON WeatherNut   Tue Oct 12 2010 01:10 AM
. * * Paula RECON danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 12 2010 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean OrlandoDan   Mon Oct 11 2010 04:40 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 04:27 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean CaneTrackerInSoFl   Mon Oct 11 2010 04:22 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 04:01 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Oct 11 2010 03:55 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 03:48 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 03:41 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 03:13 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Mon Oct 11 2010 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean cieldumort   Mon Oct 11 2010 01:01 PM
. * * Re: Western Caribbean MichaelA   Mon Oct 11 2010 09:40 AM

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