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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2010 Forecast Lounge
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge
      Mon Nov 01 2010 05:45 PM

Well no - since satellite images are highly perishable, i.e., they can change significantly with time. If you didn't see the structure of Tomas this morning I can see where my comments might be a bit confusing.

This morning Tomas was just a swirl of low-level clouds and all of the heavy convective storm clouds had been shoved off to the northeast of the center of the low cloud swirl by a distance of at least 100 miles. Strong southwesterly winds at the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere had caused this decoupling of the low level center from its convective cloud mass. Earlier this afternoon, the southwesterly winds began to decrease and the convection began to build back toward the center of the low level swirl of Tomas. Now that the convection has developed back over the low level center, additional weakening is not likely - at least not for awhile.
ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tomas Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Nov 01 2010 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Tomas now Category 2 Rosy   Sun Oct 31 2010 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Tomas now Category 2 cieldumort   Sun Oct 31 2010 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Tomas now Category 2 Rosy   Mon Nov 01 2010 09:47 AM
. * * Why Tomas Weakened - Analysis berrywr   Mon Nov 01 2010 02:20 PM
. * * Re: Why Tomas Weakened - Analysis MichaelA   Mon Nov 01 2010 03:19 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Tomas now Category 2 MichaelA   Mon Nov 01 2010 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 31 2010 10:33 AM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge srquirrely   Mon Nov 01 2010 04:05 PM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Nov 01 2010 05:45 PM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge weathernet   Mon Nov 01 2010 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge berrywr   Mon Nov 01 2010 06:08 PM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sun Oct 31 2010 12:45 PM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Oct 30 2010 02:46 AM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge doug   Sat Oct 30 2010 07:15 AM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sat Oct 30 2010 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 30 2010 07:23 AM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sat Oct 30 2010 10:09 AM
. * * Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sat Oct 30 2010 06:06 PM

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