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danielwAdministrator
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Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Florida Rain?
      Wed Jun 15 2011 04:00 PM

It's a big IF at this point. The GFS Long Range is forecasting a large area of rain to develop in the GOM in the next 7 to 10 days.
The main difference is in which model run you choose to view. GFS changes every 6 hours, the changes can be subtle or large. Earlier, yesterday's model, indicated a low pressure system developing in the 7- 10 day period. Moving from the BOC along the whole TX Coast toward Louisiana. The low then appeared to have upper level support at the 300mb level with a weak High overhead.

Low meandered for 36-48 hours over coastal Louisiana before moving NE.

Today's models, so far, have moved the developing Low more to the east. Favoring the Florida Panhandle and Upper Peninsula with rainfall.

More to come in the days ahead. The development is in question due to the amount of time involved. But stranger things have happened.
And nearly everyone in the Deep South needs rain.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/

Edited by danielw (Wed Jun 15 2011 04:11 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Florida Rain? danielwAdministrator Wed Jun 15 2011 04:00 PM
. * * Re: Drought MichaelA   Thu Jun 30 2011 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Drought ShanaTX   Fri Jul 01 2011 12:07 PM
. * * Re: Drought WesnWylie   Thu Jun 30 2011 11:13 AM
. * * Re: Florida Rain? ShanaTX   Thu Jun 23 2011 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Florida Rain? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jun 23 2011 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Florida Rain? ShanaTX   Thu Jun 23 2011 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Florida Rain? Lamar-Plant City   Fri Jun 24 2011 01:11 AM
. * * Re: Florida Rain? MichaelA   Sat Jun 25 2011 07:46 AM
. * * Re: Florida Rain? Lamar-Plant City   Sat Jun 25 2011 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Florida Rain? danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 19 2011 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Florida Rain? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jun 21 2011 06:28 PM
. * * Re: Florida Rain? Lamar-Plant City   Wed Jun 22 2011 01:01 AM

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