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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 309 (Idalia) , Major: 309 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 309 (Idalia) Major: 309 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#26 4:00 am EDT
19.6N 85.5W
Wind: 115MPH
Pres: 964mb
Moving:
W at 16 mph
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WesnWylie
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 155
Re: June Likely to be Quiet in the Atlantic
      Fri Jun 17 2011 06:03 PM Attachment (256 downloads)

The area in the SW Caribbean is looking much more active this afternoon. The area of interest is in a region of lower shear than farther to its north, so it is not being ripped apart. I was also taking a look at the SAL charts earlier, and there is no sign of dry air in the region. This appears to be the same area that the models take into the GOM by the middle of next week. I think it could be worth watching over the next several days. What are your thoughts on this feature?

BTW, I've attached a recent satellite image of it.

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2011 Season Forecast: 16/09/04
2011 Systems: 10/01/01

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* June Likely to be Quiet in the Atlantic MikeCAdministrator Fri Jun 17 2011 06:03 PM
. * * Re: Western GOM feature Edski   Sun Jun 26 2011 11:46 AM
. * * Western GOM feature danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 24 2011 07:25 AM
. * * Re: ULL in BOC MichaelA   Thu Jun 23 2011 11:05 AM
. * * ULL in BOC danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 19 2011 11:05 AM
. * * Re: June Likely to be Quiet in the Atlantic WesnWylie   Fri Jun 17 2011 06:03 PM
. * * Re: June Likely to be Quiet in the Atlantic JoshuaK   Wed Jun 15 2011 09:44 PM
. * * Re: June Likely to be Quiet in the Atlantic WesnWylie   Mon Jun 13 2011 10:26 PM

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