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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)
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doug
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: SE GOM
      Thu Jul 07 2011 03:27 PM

I was just about to comment that a vortex may be near 25N/85/W as there is low level cyclonic movement in the rain pattern, and the upper level water vapor is showing a suspicious signature, even on the east side of the ULL center. This set up is not conducive for development or much intensification due to upper level shear from the ULL. The NHC has been tracking a surface trough (wave), but my thought was the distrubed weather on the east side of the ULL was diffluent flow between the ULL and the higher pressure to its east. Certainly a weak low level circulation will enhance instability and increase rain chances across the peninsula for which we all will be grateful, however.

--------------------
doug

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching the Gulf danielwAdministrator Thu Jul 07 2011 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch JMII   Fri Jul 08 2011 02:30 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch Lamar-Plant City   Thu Jul 07 2011 08:28 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 07 2011 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 07 2011 04:47 PM
. * * Re: SE GOM WesnWylie   Thu Jul 07 2011 03:36 PM
. * * Re: SE GOM doug   Thu Jul 07 2011 03:27 PM
. * * Re: SE GOM danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 07 2011 03:17 PM
. * * SE GOM danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 07 2011 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch MichaelA   Thu Jul 07 2011 02:17 PM
. * * NHC sending RECON danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 07 2011 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch tcatron565   Wed Jul 06 2011 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch WesnWylie   Wed Jul 06 2011 02:31 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch MichaelA   Tue Jul 05 2011 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch JoshuaK   Tue Jul 05 2011 05:32 AM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 04 2011 02:22 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 04 2011 01:56 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch vineyardsaker   Mon Jul 04 2011 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Areas to Watch MichaelA   Mon Jul 04 2011 12:37 PM

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