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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

danielw
Moderator

Reged:
Posts: 3527
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel
Wed Jul 27 2011 03:49 PM

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
300 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2011

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA
AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

GULF OF MEXICO...
NORTHERN EXTENT OF TROPICAL WAVE MOVING INTO S CENTRAL GULF WITH
ASSOCIATED DEVELOPING SFC LOW JUST OFF NE TIP OF YUCATAN
PENINSULA...MOVING NW AROUND 10 KT. SEVERAL SHIP OBS THIS
MORNING ACROSS YUCATAN CHANNEL WITH 20 KT. SATELLITE SIGNATURE
CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND CANCUN RADAR NOW SHOWING IMPROVED
BANDING AND THIS FEATURE LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL CYCLONE
SOON.
HURRICANE RECON CURRENTLY INVESTIGATING SYSTEM. MODEL
GUIDANCE ALL MOVES THIS LOW OFF TO THE NW AND INLAND ACROSS
TEXAS OR NEAR TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER BY 72 HRS. WITH LIGHT WINDS
ALOFT AND WARM SST'S THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR INTENSIFICATION
INTO A STRONG T.S. BUT CURRENTLY SHIPS GUIDANCE BRINGS THIS
SYSTEM TO 66 KT AT 72 HRS AS IT MOVES INLAND.

HOWEVER...THAT
BEING SAID...WE ALL KNOW HOW QUICKLY GULF SYSTEMS CAN BLOW UP SO
CAUTION IS ADVISED WITH THIS FORECAST.

REFER TO LATEST
STATEMENTS FROM NHC WEB SITE.

THUS FAR THIS APPEARS TO HAVE A
SMALL INNER CORE WITH STRONGEST WINDS LIKELY TO INITIALLY REMAIN
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. CURRENT OFFSHORE AND HighSeasForecast DO NOT ADDRESS
A TROPICAL CYCLONE AND WILL HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED UPWARDS.
USED
ECMWF WINDS AND WAVES TO NUDGE FORECAST AS THIS TRAJECTORY WAS
MORE IN LINE WITH INITIAL TC FORECASTS.

Edited by danielw (Wed Jul 27 2011 03:56 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
90L One to Watch in Yucatan, Western Gulf	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:49 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 05:22 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	Ed Dunham	Wed Jul 27 2011 04:39 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 04:37 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 04:25 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	WesnWylie	Wed Jul 27 2011 04:20 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 04:17 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 04:14 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	WeatherNut	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:56 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:49 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:33 PM
Recon	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:32 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:15 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	Hawkeyewx	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:15 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	doug	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:09 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	hogrunr	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:06 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	doug	Wed Jul 27 2011 03:04 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	Hawkeyewx	Wed Jul 27 2011 02:52 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	doug	Wed Jul 27 2011 02:44 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	JordanBell	Wed Jul 27 2011 02:01 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 01:58 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	JordanBell	Wed Jul 27 2011 01:53 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 01:45 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 01:35 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 12:56 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	WesnWylie	Wed Jul 27 2011 12:21 PM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	Wingman51	Wed Jul 27 2011 11:28 AM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 10:41 AM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	doug	Wed Jul 27 2011 10:24 AM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 10:03 AM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	WesnWylie	Wed Jul 27 2011 09:57 AM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 09:29 AM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 09:22 AM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 09:11 AM
Re: 90L in the Yucatan Channel	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 08:47 AM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	WesnWylie	Wed Jul 27 2011 08:39 AM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	MikeC	Wed Jul 27 2011 08:36 AM
90L in the Yucatan Channel	danielw	Wed Jul 27 2011 08:30 AM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	MikeC	Tue Jul 26 2011 07:51 PM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	MikeC	Tue Jul 26 2011 04:19 PM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	danielw	Tue Jul 26 2011 02:17 PM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	doug	Tue Jul 26 2011 02:10 PM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	danielw	Tue Jul 26 2011 01:51 PM
Re: Wave in the Caribbean, Part II	MikeC	Tue Jul 26 2011 12:04 PM

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