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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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berrywr
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: Windshear
      Thu Jul 28 2011 07:29 PM

28/2329Z - I looked at the latest CIMMS Wind Shear Analysis and Don is now between an area of winds from the north between 5 and 10 knots, not 10 and 15 knots. Movement of Don over the past several hours is just north of due west and I don't see anything in the model data to suggest otherwise. Don is situated under a 200mb upper ridge axis with an inverted trough to it's NE-E-SE and a closed upper low to its west near the tip of Baja California and a mid to upper level upper ridge over the SE USA. Strength of the SE USA upper ridge supports a continued west to west-northwest movement. The more southerly track is not good news for areas in an exceptional drought but those north and east of the track will see beneficial rainfall.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Don Heading Toward Texas MikeCAdministrator Thu Jul 28 2011 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Pressure Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 11:33 PM
. * * 11 PM danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 10:37 PM
. * * Re: Windshear danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Windshear MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Windshear typhoon_tip   Thu Jul 28 2011 08:32 PM
. * * Re: Windshear MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 08:31 PM
. * * Re: Windshear MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 08:17 PM
. * * Re: Windshear MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 07:53 PM
. * * Re: Windshear MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Windshear berrywr   Thu Jul 28 2011 07:29 PM
. * * Re: Intensification MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 07:22 PM
. * * Re: Intensification Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 07:15 PM
. * * Re: Windshear MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Windshear cieldumort   Thu Jul 28 2011 06:35 PM
. * * Don danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 06:28 PM
. * * Re: Windshear MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 06:21 PM
. * * Re: Windshear MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 06:12 PM
. * * Re: Windshear WesnWylie   Thu Jul 28 2011 03:33 PM
. * * Re: Windshear danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Windshear Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 01:33 PM
. * * Re: Recon Fairhopian   Thu Jul 28 2011 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Recon berrywr   Thu Jul 28 2011 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 12:27 PM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Recon MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 11:51 AM
. * * Re: Recon Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 11:45 AM
. * * Re: Recon WesnWylie   Thu Jul 28 2011 11:16 AM
. * * Re: Recon MichaelA   Thu Jul 28 2011 11:11 AM
. * * Re: Recon hogrunr   Thu Jul 28 2011 11:11 AM
. * * Re: Recon WeatherNut   Thu Jul 28 2011 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Recon hogrunr   Thu Jul 28 2011 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Recon hogrunr   Thu Jul 28 2011 10:30 AM
. * * Re: Recon MichaelA   Thu Jul 28 2011 09:25 AM
. * * Re: Recon MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 09:25 AM
. * * Recon danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 09:12 AM
. * * Don Track danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Don Vortex 1 WesnWylie   Thu Jul 28 2011 08:50 AM
. * * Re: Don Vortex 1 MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 08:44 AM
. * * Don Vortex 1 danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 08:26 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico danielwAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 06:46 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 28 2011 05:42 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 27 2011 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico WesnWylie   Wed Jul 27 2011 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico WeatherNut   Wed Jul 27 2011 07:09 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 27 2011 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Don forms in Southern Gulf of Mexico danielwAdministrator   Wed Jul 27 2011 04:55 PM

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