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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

danielw
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Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Great discussion out of PR
Sun Jul 31 2011 06:33 PM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
243 PM AST SUN JUL 31 2011

edited~danielw

...AS FAR AS THE TROPICS GO...A WIND SURGE HAS DETACHED A PORTION OF
WHAT ONCE THOUGHT TO BE PART OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. NOW THE
TROPICAL WAVE BEING OBSERVED FOR DEVELOPMENT IS BEHIND THIS SURGE.
HOWEVER...THIS SURGE AHEAD OF THE WAVE SEEMS TO HAVE DEEPER
CONVECTION THAN THE WAVE ITSELF.

BUOY 41040 HAS REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 29 MPH ...GUSTS
AROUND 34 MPH AND SEAS CLOSE TO 12 FT. THIS DATA WAS RECORDED AS
THE DETACHED PORTION OF THE WAVE WENT THROUGH THE BUOY.
ALSO...BUOY 41101 EAST OF MARTINIQUE HAS REPORTED SIMILAR VALUES
WITH A MAX SUSTAINED WIND OF 26 MPH AND GUST OF 30 MPH WITH SEAS
OF AROUND 10 FT.

THE ACTUAL SYSTEM THAT COULD BE CATEGORIZED AS A DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY SEEMS TO BE STRUGGLING A BIT WITH ITS ORGANIZATION.
HOWEVER...AS IT GETS CLOSER TO OUR AREA...IT WILL BE OVER MORE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER STATED THAT IT COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANY TIME
NOW. WE WILL KNOW MORE WITH THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TRACK THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
VERY CLOSE TO OUR AREA...MAYBE SLIGHTLY NORTH ON THE 12Z RUN THAN
THE 06Z RUN. THE 12Z RUN HOWEVER HAS SEVERAL MODELS TRACKING THE
CYCLONE JUST OVER PUERTO RICO...WITH THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION
MAKING LANDFALL AROUND PONCE AND EXITING THROUGH AGUADILLA...WITH
AN INTENSITY OF A STRONG TROPICAL STORM OR A WEAKER HURRICANE.

Edited by danielw (Sun Jul 31 2011 06:52 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Large Wave East of Caribbean Looking Better this Morning	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 06:33 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 11:49 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily	Joeyfl	Mon Aug 01 2011 11:31 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily	Joeyfl	Mon Aug 01 2011 10:49 PM
Tropical Storm Emily	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 10:35 PM
Re: Geography and Other Things	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 10:25 PM
Re: Geography and Other Things	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 10:16 PM
Geography and Other Things	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 01 2011 09:46 PM
Re: Depression	WeatherNut	Mon Aug 01 2011 09:38 PM
Re: Depression	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 09:01 PM
Re: Depression	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 08:58 PM
Re: Depression	Hawkeyewx	Mon Aug 01 2011 08:51 PM
Re: Depression	Rich B	Mon Aug 01 2011 08:40 PM
Re: Depression	Bloodstar	Mon Aug 01 2011 08:24 PM
Re: Depression	metwannabe	Mon Aug 01 2011 08:22 PM
Depression	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 07:49 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	adam s	Mon Aug 01 2011 07:04 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 06:51 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	scottsvb	Mon Aug 01 2011 06:35 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	Hawkeyewx	Mon Aug 01 2011 06:24 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	scottsvb	Mon Aug 01 2011 06:21 PM
Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 05:47 PM
Tropical Forecast Discussion	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 05:39 PM
Recon	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 05:03 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	doug	Mon Aug 01 2011 04:56 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 04:04 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hawkeyewx	Mon Aug 01 2011 03:36 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	scottsvb	Mon Aug 01 2011 03:24 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	adam s	Mon Aug 01 2011 02:12 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MichaelA	Mon Aug 01 2011 02:03 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	metwannabe	Mon Aug 01 2011 02:03 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 12:38 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	berrywr	Mon Aug 01 2011 02:15 AM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 10:35 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 31 2011 09:37 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 09:13 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 09:03 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	typhoon_tip	Sun Jul 31 2011 08:49 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	renka	Sun Jul 31 2011 08:39 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	Rich B	Sun Jul 31 2011 08:35 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 08:26 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 08:15 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 08:05 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 07:44 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 07:41 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 07:34 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 07:18 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 07:13 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 07:00 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 06:37 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 06:33 PM
Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 06:30 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:50 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:35 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:27 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	scottsvb	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:19 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	WesnWylie	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:19 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:59 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:56 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:44 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:33 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:20 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 03:40 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 02:44 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 11:55 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 11:36 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:35 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 03:09 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	typhoon_tip	Sat Jul 30 2011 06:23 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	danielw	Sat Jul 30 2011 01:29 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	MikeC	Sat Jul 30 2011 01:22 PM

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