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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)

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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

danielw
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Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing
Sun Jul 31 2011 05:03 PM

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
455 PM EDT SUN JUL 31 2011

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SPECIAL OUTLOOK ISSUED TO UPDATE DISCUSSION OF THE ELONGATED AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES.

UPDATED...COMMUNICATIONS PROBLEMS HAVE LIMITED THE AMOUNT OF DATA
RECEIVED FROM THE AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING THE
ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE
NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS. HOWEVER...REPORTS FROM THE AIRCRAFT
...ALONG WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...INDICATE
THAT THE SYSTEM DOES NOT YET HAVE A WELL-DEFINED SURFACE
CIRCULATION. A SECOND AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS FORMED
TO THE WEST OF THE MAIN DISTURBANCE...AND WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
TONIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR TROPICAL STORM TO FORM...AND THIS SYSTEM HAS
A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 15
MPH. IF THE SYSTEM BECOMES A TROPICAL CYCLONE TONIGHT OR MONDAY
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES OR WARNINGS WOULD BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE NORTHERN WINDWARD ISLANDS AND THE LEEWARD ISLANDS ON VERY
SHORT NOTICE...AND INTERESTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. ANOTHER HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM MONDAY MORNING.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/FRANKLIN

Bold emphasis added~ danielw

Edited by danielw (Sun Jul 31 2011 05:07 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Large Wave East of Caribbean Looking Better this Morning	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:03 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 07:49 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily	Joeyfl	Mon Aug 01 2011 07:31 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily	Joeyfl	Mon Aug 01 2011 06:49 PM
Tropical Storm Emily	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 06:35 PM
Re: Geography and Other Things	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 06:25 PM
Re: Geography and Other Things	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 06:16 PM
Geography and Other Things	Ed Dunham	Mon Aug 01 2011 05:46 PM
Re: Depression	WeatherNut	Mon Aug 01 2011 05:38 PM
Re: Depression	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 05:01 PM
Re: Depression	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 04:58 PM
Re: Depression	Hawkeyewx	Mon Aug 01 2011 04:51 PM
Re: Depression	Rich B	Mon Aug 01 2011 04:40 PM
Re: Depression	Bloodstar	Mon Aug 01 2011 04:24 PM
Re: Depression	metwannabe	Mon Aug 01 2011 04:22 PM
Depression	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 03:49 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	adam s	Mon Aug 01 2011 03:04 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 02:51 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	scottsvb	Mon Aug 01 2011 02:35 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	Hawkeyewx	Mon Aug 01 2011 02:24 PM
Re: Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	scottsvb	Mon Aug 01 2011 02:21 PM
Preliminary Extended Forecast Discussion	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 01:47 PM
Tropical Forecast Discussion	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 01:39 PM
Recon	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 01:03 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	doug	Mon Aug 01 2011 12:56 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 12:04 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hawkeyewx	Mon Aug 01 2011 11:36 AM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	scottsvb	Mon Aug 01 2011 11:24 AM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	adam s	Mon Aug 01 2011 10:12 AM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MichaelA	Mon Aug 01 2011 10:03 AM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	metwannabe	Mon Aug 01 2011 10:03 AM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 08:38 AM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	berrywr	Sun Jul 31 2011 10:15 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 06:35 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Ed Dunham	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:37 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:13 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 05:03 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	typhoon_tip	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:49 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	renka	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:39 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	Rich B	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:35 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:26 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:15 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 04:05 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 03:44 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 03:41 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 03:34 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 03:18 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 03:13 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 03:00 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 02:37 PM
Re: Great discussion out of PR	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 02:33 PM
Great discussion out of PR	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 02:30 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 01:50 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 01:35 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 01:27 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	scottsvb	Sun Jul 31 2011 01:19 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	WesnWylie	Sun Jul 31 2011 01:19 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 12:59 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 12:56 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 12:44 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	Hugh	Sun Jul 31 2011 12:33 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 12:20 PM
Re: Large Wave East of Caribbean Slowly Organizing	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 11:40 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	danielw	Sun Jul 31 2011 10:44 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 07:55 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	MikeC	Sun Jul 31 2011 07:36 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	LoisCane	Sun Jul 31 2011 01:35 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	danielw	Sat Jul 30 2011 11:09 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	typhoon_tip	Sat Jul 30 2011 02:23 PM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	danielw	Sat Jul 30 2011 09:29 AM
Re: Wave East of Caribbean Likely to Develop Today or Tomorrow	MikeC	Sat Jul 30 2011 09:22 AM

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