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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

typhoon_tip
Meteorologist

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Posts: 576

Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean
Mon Aug 01 2011 08:04 PM

Fascinating meteorology apparent with 91L's naming. Late this afternoon, a small plume of colder cloud tops erupted around the NE quadrant of the low level swirl that had been ejected out of the overnight general region of ill-looking convection. This then wrapped around the N side continuing to develop, and has apparently recently subsumed the vortex altogether.

I believe that prior to this recovery in development 91L was both too large, and too close in proximity to SAL. The former retarded development because it had more than one vortex vying for development and these interfered with one another; the latter is a dust/dry air concern. During the day, numerous arcus clouds could be seen emanating from the occasional convective elements, and this is consistent with dry air entrainment.

With the low level circulation accelerating away from these two mitigating factors, it is interesting to see this rapid response. We'll see if it persists, but with ample oceanic heat content and sufficient anticyclonic motion noted in the u/a analysis, there doesn't appear to be any hugely mitigating circumstance for the time being. That may be why a lot of the intensity guidance still insists on Cat 1 or 2 status conflicting with the land masses along and west of the Puerto Rico archipelago.

Edited by typhoon_tip (Mon Aug 01 2011 08:10 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Emily Heading West Northwest in the Caribbean	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 08:04 PM
Re: Emily Heads For ??	scottsvb	Wed Aug 03 2011 01:16 AM
Re: Emily Heads For ??	LoisCane	Wed Aug 03 2011 01:08 AM
Re: Emily Heads For ??	Ed Dunham	Wed Aug 03 2011 01:04 AM
Re: Emily	Joeyfl	Tue Aug 02 2011 11:17 PM
Re: Emily	Ed Dunham	Tue Aug 02 2011 10:47 PM
Re: Emily	MikeC	Tue Aug 02 2011 10:44 PM
Re: Emily	Lamar-Plant City	Tue Aug 02 2011 10:29 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	Joeyfl	Tue Aug 02 2011 09:06 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	danielw	Tue Aug 02 2011 04:45 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	JMII	Tue Aug 02 2011 03:21 PM
Emily	danielw	Tue Aug 02 2011 03:08 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	adam s	Tue Aug 02 2011 02:52 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNut	Tue Aug 02 2011 02:39 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	danielw	Tue Aug 02 2011 02:22 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	JoshuaK	Tue Aug 02 2011 02:07 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	Joeyfl	Tue Aug 02 2011 01:45 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	WeatherNut	Tue Aug 02 2011 12:57 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	LoisCane	Tue Aug 02 2011 12:31 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Tue Aug 02 2011 12:19 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	LoisCane	Tue Aug 02 2011 12:15 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	Ed Dunham	Tue Aug 02 2011 12:05 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Tue Aug 02 2011 12:04 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	weathernet	Tue Aug 02 2011 11:46 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	tpratch	Tue Aug 02 2011 11:36 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	adam s	Tue Aug 02 2011 11:18 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	JMII	Tue Aug 02 2011 10:59 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	MikeC	Tue Aug 02 2011 10:57 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Tue Aug 02 2011 10:45 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Tue Aug 02 2011 10:23 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	LoisCane	Tue Aug 02 2011 10:21 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	MichaelA	Tue Aug 02 2011 10:09 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	adam s	Tue Aug 02 2011 09:56 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Tue Aug 02 2011 09:46 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	LoisCane	Tue Aug 02 2011 09:39 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	scottsvb	Tue Aug 02 2011 09:23 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	adam s	Tue Aug 02 2011 08:45 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	weathernet	Tue Aug 02 2011 08:16 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	MikeC	Tue Aug 02 2011 07:19 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	OrlandoDan	Tue Aug 02 2011 06:47 AM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 10:55 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	MikeC	Mon Aug 01 2011 10:47 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	LoisCane	Mon Aug 01 2011 09:57 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	danielw	Mon Aug 01 2011 09:01 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Emily Forms in Far Eastern Caribbean	typhoon_tip	Mon Aug 01 2011 08:04 PM

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