F

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995

First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 284 (Idalia) , Major: 284 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 284 (Idalia) Major: 284 (Idalia)

NEWS

CURRENT STORMS

None

HypeScale: 0.25

COMMUNICATION

STORM DATA

CONTENT

FOLLOW US

National Hurricane Center

You are not logged in. [Login]

Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

weathernet
Storm Tracker

Reged:
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere

Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola
Wed Aug 03 2011 02:38 PM

No doubt, Emily's LLC would appear to be entirely decoupled from any remaining mid level center ( or al least whatever extent of primary convection farther east ). Shear at the moment is having a real impact and inflow is likely restricted due to HIspanola as well. Will assume that NHC might keep Emily as a weakened and minimal T.S. for the next advisory, given the substantial LLC and the typical time it takes to "wind down"; that and the fact that there remains the possibility of refiring of convection close to the westward tracking center.

Beyond continuity and perhaps only a slight chance of short term recovery, I would imagine that Emily will be downgraded to a depression later in the day/evening. In fact, it may well be downgraded to an open wave by this evening, however that should not mean that this remnant vigerous wave is done. Some models still want to either regenerate the mid level remant of Emily and continue to track it across Hispanola, or that the remnant vorticity would still reform either south or north of Cuba in the next couple days. Even if the later were to occur and Florida and/or the Bahamas were to come back into play, the significance of this happening would now appear as more of a rain impact than from wind.

It would seem that barring some pretty unusual set of circumstances though, there should not be a major risk to the U.S. from Emily unless reorganization were to occur AND a stalled reorganizing system were to intensify from little in a hurry.

Edited by weathernet (Wed Aug 03 2011 02:43 PM)

Post Extras

Print Post

Remind Me!

Notify Moderator

Entire topic
Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Emily Moves Slowly Westward Future Unclear	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 02:38 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 04 2011 09:57 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 04 2011 08:57 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 04 2011 08:53 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 04 2011 07:49 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	Bloodstar	Thu Aug 04 2011 07:44 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	weathernet	Thu Aug 04 2011 06:13 AM
Re: Current Location	weathernet	Thu Aug 04 2011 05:49 AM
Re: Current Location	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 05:47 AM
Re: Current Location	IsoFlame	Thu Aug 04 2011 05:26 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	Bloodstar	Thu Aug 04 2011 05:13 AM
Re: Current Location	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 05:06 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	IsoFlame	Thu Aug 04 2011 05:06 AM
Current Location	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 04:57 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	Bev	Thu Aug 04 2011 04:36 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	scottsvb	Thu Aug 04 2011 04:35 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	LoisCane	Thu Aug 04 2011 04:20 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	Lamar-Plant City	Thu Aug 04 2011 04:12 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	MikeC	Thu Aug 04 2011 03:53 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 03:49 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	scottsvb	Thu Aug 04 2011 03:37 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	MikeC	Thu Aug 04 2011 03:21 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	hogrunr	Thu Aug 04 2011 03:12 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	ralphfl	Thu Aug 04 2011 03:11 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	MikeC	Thu Aug 04 2011 02:59 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	M.A.	Thu Aug 04 2011 02:55 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	scottsvb	Thu Aug 04 2011 02:49 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 02:46 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	WeatherNut	Thu Aug 04 2011 02:39 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 02:39 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	berrywr	Thu Aug 04 2011 02:37 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	M.A.	Thu Aug 04 2011 02:26 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	LoisCane	Thu Aug 04 2011 01:34 AM
Current Model Swath	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 12:44 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Thu Aug 04 2011 12:03 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	metwannabe	Thu Aug 04 2011 12:03 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Lamar-Plant City	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:43 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Hugh	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:32 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Lamar-Plant City	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:31 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MichaelA	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:24 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	OrlandoDan	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:16 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	WeatherNut	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:16 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Joeyfl	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:19 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	WeatherNut	Wed Aug 03 2011 09:30 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	metwannabe	Wed Aug 03 2011 09:06 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Lamar-Plant City	Wed Aug 03 2011 09:04 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MichaelA	Wed Aug 03 2011 09:00 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 08:33 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	doug	Wed Aug 03 2011 07:32 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	JMII	Wed Aug 03 2011 07:14 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	weathernet	Wed Aug 03 2011 06:54 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	WesnWylie	Wed Aug 03 2011 06:51 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	weathernet	Wed Aug 03 2011 06:50 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	stormtiger	Wed Aug 03 2011 06:42 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	WeatherNut	Wed Aug 03 2011 05:43 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	BayCoGator	Wed Aug 03 2011 04:53 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Joeyfl	Wed Aug 03 2011 04:46 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 04:14 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	scottsvb	Wed Aug 03 2011 04:06 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 03:56 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	scottsvb	Wed Aug 03 2011 03:30 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 03:07 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	weathernet	Wed Aug 03 2011 02:38 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	JMII	Wed Aug 03 2011 02:24 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	adam s	Wed Aug 03 2011 01:57 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Joeyfl	Wed Aug 03 2011 01:48 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 01:41 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Joeyfl	Wed Aug 03 2011 12:53 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 12:19 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Cape Weather	Wed Aug 03 2011 12:04 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:19 AM

Extra information

0 registered and 31 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:

Thread views: 21906

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center