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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)

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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

danielw
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Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)

Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola
Wed Aug 03 2011 12:14 PM

Either way I think we will see an even bigger split in the models, later.
It may be the 00Z run before we see significant changes.

Currently All of the BAM suite is on the SW side of the Florida Peninsula.
The right turn is reflected in nearly all of the other models.

Except the BAMD and CMC they want to go toward the Eastern GOM.

TROPICAL STORM EMILY DISCUSSION NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052011
1100 AM AST WED AUG 03 2011 edited~danielw

THE LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST OR 280
DEGREES AT 12 KNOTS. ASSUMING EMILY CAN MAINTAIN A VERTICALLY DEEP
CIRCULATION...THE CYCLONE SHOULD SOON TURN MORE TO THE NORTHWEST
AND EVENTUALLY TOWARD THE NORTH AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE.
ALTHOUGH THERE HAS NOT BEEN A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE
IN THE STEERING PATTERN SOME OF THE GUIDANCE HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
WESTWARD... AND SO HAS THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. THE GFS REMAINS ALONG
THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE.

THE CYCLONE WILL LIKELY BE A SIGNIFICANT RAINMAKER FOR THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...HAITI...PUERTO RICO AND ADJACENT ISLANDS

Edited by danielw (Wed Aug 03 2011 12:28 PM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Emily Moves Slowly Westward Future Unclear	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 12:14 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 04 2011 05:57 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 04 2011 04:57 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 04 2011 04:53 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	OrlandoDan	Thu Aug 04 2011 03:49 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	Bloodstar	Thu Aug 04 2011 03:44 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	weathernet	Thu Aug 04 2011 02:13 AM
Re: Current Location	weathernet	Thu Aug 04 2011 01:49 AM
Re: Current Location	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 01:47 AM
Re: Current Location	IsoFlame	Thu Aug 04 2011 01:26 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	Bloodstar	Thu Aug 04 2011 01:13 AM
Re: Current Location	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 01:06 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	IsoFlame	Thu Aug 04 2011 01:06 AM
Current Location	danielw	Thu Aug 04 2011 12:57 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	Bev	Thu Aug 04 2011 12:36 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	scottsvb	Thu Aug 04 2011 12:35 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	LoisCane	Thu Aug 04 2011 12:20 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	Lamar-Plant City	Thu Aug 04 2011 12:12 AM
Re: Current Model Swath	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:53 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:49 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	scottsvb	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:37 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:21 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	hogrunr	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:12 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	ralphfl	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:11 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:59 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	M.A.	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:55 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	scottsvb	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:49 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:46 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	WeatherNut	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:39 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:39 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	berrywr	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:37 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	M.A.	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:26 PM
Re: Current Model Swath	LoisCane	Wed Aug 03 2011 09:34 PM
Current Model Swath	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 08:44 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 08:03 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	metwannabe	Wed Aug 03 2011 08:03 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Lamar-Plant City	Wed Aug 03 2011 07:43 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Hugh	Wed Aug 03 2011 07:32 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Lamar-Plant City	Wed Aug 03 2011 07:31 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MichaelA	Wed Aug 03 2011 07:24 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	OrlandoDan	Wed Aug 03 2011 07:16 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	WeatherNut	Wed Aug 03 2011 07:16 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Joeyfl	Wed Aug 03 2011 06:19 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	WeatherNut	Wed Aug 03 2011 05:30 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	metwannabe	Wed Aug 03 2011 05:06 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Lamar-Plant City	Wed Aug 03 2011 05:04 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MichaelA	Wed Aug 03 2011 05:00 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 04:33 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	doug	Wed Aug 03 2011 03:32 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	JMII	Wed Aug 03 2011 03:14 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	weathernet	Wed Aug 03 2011 02:54 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	WesnWylie	Wed Aug 03 2011 02:51 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	weathernet	Wed Aug 03 2011 02:50 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	stormtiger	Wed Aug 03 2011 02:42 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	WeatherNut	Wed Aug 03 2011 01:43 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	BayCoGator	Wed Aug 03 2011 12:53 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Joeyfl	Wed Aug 03 2011 12:46 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 12:14 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	scottsvb	Wed Aug 03 2011 12:06 PM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	danielw	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:56 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	scottsvb	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:30 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 11:07 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	weathernet	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:38 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	JMII	Wed Aug 03 2011 10:24 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	adam s	Wed Aug 03 2011 09:57 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Joeyfl	Wed Aug 03 2011 09:48 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 09:41 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Joeyfl	Wed Aug 03 2011 08:53 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 08:19 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	Cape Weather	Wed Aug 03 2011 08:04 AM
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola	MikeC	Wed Aug 03 2011 07:19 AM

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