F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 290 (Idalia) , Major: 290 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 290 (Idalia) Major: 290 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

weathernet
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola
      Wed Aug 03 2011 06:50 PM

Weird crazy storm! When I least expect, convection is truly attempting to rebuild over the LLC.

Am also noticing some odd new surge of easterly winds suddenly shunting and pushing against the convection ( mid level vortex? ) farther to the east. Of course this could only help in possibly abatting further convection from firing up to the east and thus further thwarting inflow issues to the low level center.

As for the cut off low just north of Jamaica, I had not really noticed it earlier. It is quite small and typically might just be pushed out of the way by a significant system. In this case ( and given its small size and appearant influence ), I would assume it to not reflect down to the 500mb ( steering ) level and thus have no impact in that regard. Emily is curerently being afftect from what would appear to be outrunning its own anticyclone and is being impacted by the very southerly flow from the upper high presently hovering south of Puerto Rico ( and forecasted to move and expand northwards interestingly ). What minor influence the cutoff low dropping south from near Jamaica might provide, would perhaps slightly aid Emily's western flank outflow if the upper low does continue to drop to the south.

Also did notice on the 12Z upper air data/forcast, that there was some odd 300mb winds which seemed to impact some north/easterly shear at that level, while all along the greater 200mb southerly shear remains. Looks like the upper air 300mb issues abate in the very short term, and by 24 hours the greater southerly shear looks to abate quite a bit as well. Longer range ( 2-3 days ) seemed quite transitional. At the base of the current trough, there would appear to be a shear line that might lie north of Cuba and in between the building upper high to its east and the larger upper ridging expanding eastward from the Southeast U.S. On one hand overall ridging would seem to indicate better upper air dynamics, but a small weak storm without any well established anticyclone might fall prey to the varying shear zones. At a minimum, sure does appear that Emily ( or what is left of her ) may traverse less land than earlier thought. Seems oddly complex.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Emily Moves Slowly Westward Future Unclear MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 03 2011 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 04 2011 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 04 2011 08:57 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 04 2011 08:53 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath OrlandoDan   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:49 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath Bloodstar   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:44 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath weathernet   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:13 AM
. * * Re: Current Location weathernet   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:49 AM
. * * Re: Current Location danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:47 AM
. * * Re: Current Location IsoFlame   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:26 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath Bloodstar   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:13 AM
. * * Re: Current Location danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:06 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath IsoFlame   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:06 AM
. * * Current Location danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 04:57 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath Bev   Thu Aug 04 2011 04:36 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 04:35 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath LoisCane   Thu Aug 04 2011 04:20 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath Lamar-Plant City   Thu Aug 04 2011 04:12 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:53 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:49 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:37 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:21 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath hogrunr   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:12 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath ralphfl   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:11 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:59 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath M.A.   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:49 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:46 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath WeatherNut   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:39 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath berrywr   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:37 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath M.A.   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:26 AM
. * * Re: Current Model Swath LoisCane   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:34 AM
. * * Current Model Swath danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola metwannabe   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:03 AM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Lamar-Plant City   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Hugh   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:32 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Lamar-Plant City   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MichaelA   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola OrlandoDan   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:16 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola WeatherNut   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:16 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Joeyfl   Wed Aug 03 2011 10:19 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola WeatherNut   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola metwannabe   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Lamar-Plant City   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MichaelA   Wed Aug 03 2011 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola doug   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola JMII   Wed Aug 03 2011 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola weathernet   Wed Aug 03 2011 06:54 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola WesnWylie   Wed Aug 03 2011 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola weathernet   Wed Aug 03 2011 06:50 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola stormtiger   Wed Aug 03 2011 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola WeatherNut   Wed Aug 03 2011 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola BayCoGator   Wed Aug 03 2011 04:53 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Joeyfl   Wed Aug 03 2011 04:46 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola scottsvb   Wed Aug 03 2011 04:06 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola scottsvb   Wed Aug 03 2011 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola weathernet   Wed Aug 03 2011 02:38 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola JMII   Wed Aug 03 2011 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola adam s   Wed Aug 03 2011 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Joeyfl   Wed Aug 03 2011 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Joeyfl   Wed Aug 03 2011 12:53 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 12:19 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola Cape Weather   Wed Aug 03 2011 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Emily Headed West Northwest Toward Hispaniola MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 03 2011 11:19 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 17 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Thread views: 21932

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center