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Rafael continues to decouple over the Gulf. Meanwhile we are keeping a watch on Invest 98L around the Bahamas and potentially a new low forming in the Caribbean.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 31 (Milton) , Major: 31 (Milton) Florida - Any: 31 (Milton) Major: 31 (Milton)
TS Rafael
ADV#29 9:00 am EDT
26.3N 91.9W
Wind: 40MPH
Pres: 1003mb
Moving:
Nnw at 3 mph
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4635
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Emily Moving West Northwest
      Thu Aug 04 2011 07:25 AM

Based on the long Water Vapor loop it appears Emily is moving generally westward along south of Hispaniola as if to avoid it, with the north side a bit affected by the island, the rest, like you said is looking a lot better. It's still fighting the twin nature from days back, and until that influence is completely purged it will likely struggle. The dry air and shear near Cuba aren't having too much of an affect. The water vapor hints at a weakness in the ridge to the north (East of the northern Bahamas), but it's not clear if Emily will go for it yet or not.

Still no obvious move northward since it's been south of Hispaniola.since when it was near 70W. Water vapor remains probably my favorite satellite view to see whats going on around the system. Emily is expanding, though, which has made tracking movement difficult ever since the llc went back under convection.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Emily Reforms as Depression, Moving Out To Sea MikeCAdministrator Thu Aug 04 2011 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart, Remnants Struggle to Reform danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart, Remnants Struggle to Reform Rich B   Sat Aug 06 2011 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart, Remnants Struggle to Reform JMII   Sat Aug 06 2011 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart, Remnants Struggle to Reform cieldumort   Sat Aug 06 2011 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Joeyfl   Sat Aug 06 2011 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Hugh   Sat Aug 06 2011 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart M.A.   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Joeyfl   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Hugh   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Joeyfl   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Hugh   Sat Aug 06 2011 12:57 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Hugh   Sat Aug 06 2011 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart MichaelA   Sat Aug 06 2011 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart scottsvb   Sat Aug 06 2011 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 09:15 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart CDMOrlando   Sat Aug 06 2011 12:55 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 05 2011 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 05 2011 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest M.A.   Fri Aug 05 2011 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 05 2011 06:22 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest adam s   Fri Aug 05 2011 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest JMII   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest NewWatcher   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest BayCoGator   Fri Aug 05 2011 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest NewWatcher   Fri Aug 05 2011 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Fri Aug 05 2011 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest weathernet   Fri Aug 05 2011 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Fri Aug 05 2011 08:27 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest OrlandoDan   Fri Aug 05 2011 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest M.A.   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest WeatherNut   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest B_from_NC   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Random Chaos   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest B_from_NC   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest WesnWylie   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest adam s   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest JMII   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest WeatherNut   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest doug   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Emily Meandering South of Haiti Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest adam s   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:36 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest doug   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:28 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest JMII   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:14 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest adam s   Thu Aug 04 2011 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest doug   Thu Aug 04 2011 08:46 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Rich B   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:56 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Owlguin   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Random Chaos   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:57 AM

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