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Invest 95L is now being tracked in the central Atlantic, with a 40% chance to develop and very strong model support. Those in the Lesser Antilles of the Caribbean should watch it closely Sunday/Monday. 94L at 20% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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Reged:
Posts: 296
Loc: Elsewhere
Re: Emily Moving West Northwest
      Fri Aug 05 2011 09:57 AM

Well, the "entertainer fromerly known as Prince.....ummm I mean EMILY" has left the building..... or has she?
Looking at morning vis. satellite, there appears to me a large very weak center of low level vorticity centered at about 22N and 78W. Hard to tell, but would appear to be moving at around 290. There is some convection firing up over Cuba and seemingly associated with this overall area, and it would appear to me to likely be the remnant LLC of Emily. Looking at Water Vapor, most of the dry air is gone and the atmosphere looks to have moistened up. Upper air models from 6Z would seem to indicate that the area would be conducive for development ( for a developed system ). Just not sure if there remains enough of a structure ( say perhaps from 850mb down to the surface ) to allow for development to occur. If the surface reflection were to continue to move WNW into the SE Gulf, upper air would appear to be less conducive. I would put a low ( but possible ) "questionmark" on any real development here, other than some slight re-organization of a weak low that may be enough to throw some good precipitation over parts of S. Florida, the Keys, and Central Cuba.

I am less confident that the remnant mid level feature of Emily ( over the Bahamas ) will develop due to lacking the low level inflow. This feature might simply just get pulled "up and out" to the NE.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Emily Reforms as Depression, Moving Out To Sea MikeCAdministrator Fri Aug 05 2011 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart, Remnants Struggle to Reform danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 04:45 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart, Remnants Struggle to Reform Rich B   Sat Aug 06 2011 04:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart, Remnants Struggle to Reform JMII   Sat Aug 06 2011 04:26 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart, Remnants Struggle to Reform cieldumort   Sat Aug 06 2011 04:08 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Joeyfl   Sat Aug 06 2011 03:20 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Hugh   Sat Aug 06 2011 03:09 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart M.A.   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Joeyfl   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:26 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Hugh   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:21 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Joeyfl   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart GuppieGrouper   Sat Aug 06 2011 02:12 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Hugh   Sat Aug 06 2011 12:57 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 12:41 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart Hugh   Sat Aug 06 2011 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart MichaelA   Sat Aug 06 2011 11:29 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart scottsvb   Sat Aug 06 2011 10:52 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart danielwAdministrator   Sat Aug 06 2011 09:15 AM
. * * Re: Emily Falls Apart CDMOrlando   Sat Aug 06 2011 12:55 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 05 2011 10:49 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 05 2011 07:44 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest M.A.   Fri Aug 05 2011 06:57 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 05 2011 06:22 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest adam s   Fri Aug 05 2011 04:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest JMII   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:44 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:26 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest NewWatcher   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest BayCoGator   Fri Aug 05 2011 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest NewWatcher   Fri Aug 05 2011 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Fri Aug 05 2011 10:41 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest weathernet   Fri Aug 05 2011 09:57 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Fri Aug 05 2011 08:27 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest OrlandoDan   Fri Aug 05 2011 03:09 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Fri Aug 05 2011 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:47 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:36 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:55 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest M.A.   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:49 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest WeatherNut   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:48 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest B_from_NC   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:19 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Random Chaos   Thu Aug 04 2011 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest B_from_NC   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest WesnWylie   Thu Aug 04 2011 03:04 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:55 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest adam s   Thu Aug 04 2011 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest JMII   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest WeatherNut   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest doug   Thu Aug 04 2011 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Emily Meandering South of Haiti Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:50 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:17 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest adam s   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 12:02 PM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:36 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:53 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest danielwAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:51 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MichaelA   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest doug   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:28 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest scottsvb   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest JMII   Thu Aug 04 2011 10:14 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest adam s   Thu Aug 04 2011 09:29 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest doug   Thu Aug 04 2011 08:46 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Rich B   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:56 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Owlguin   Thu Aug 04 2011 07:25 AM
. * * Re: Emily Moving West Northwest Random Chaos   Thu Aug 04 2011 06:57 AM

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