The current run of the GFS shear map indicates upper level winds will remain very conducive for further development during the next 4-5 days.
There may have been a center reformation from the initial advisory, to the NW and just east of the convection, as she is now north of the forecast points. Â Imagery also indicates more of a WNW motion at the moment, which may become more westerly (275-280) Â briefly, based on current steering flow. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8dlm2.GIF
If this is a true deviation from course, then she could spend more time over water, which could be the worse case scenario, as a shift either way in track too much will allow more strengthening.
0 registered and 231 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 34862
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center
Previous
Index
Next
Flat
Re: Tropical Storm Irene Forms East of the Leeward Islands
Edit
Reply
Quote
