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Catastrophic and life-threatening impacts are now underway. May everyone be safe. 140 MPH Cat 4 Hurricane Helene #FLwx #GAwx #SCwx #NCwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 1 (Helene) , Major: 1 (Helene) Florida - Any: 1 (Helene) Major: 1 (Helene)
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ADV#18 5:00 pm EDT
37.5N 85.5W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 984mb
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Wind: 50MPH
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Wnw at 12 mph
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General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
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Lamar-Plant City
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 388
Loc: Plant City, Florida
Re: model question (Irene)
      Mon Aug 22 2011 01:20 PM

I think the answer to your question was posted on one of the other Irene threads. Mainly it seems to be that these two models have the high pressure ridge to the north as stronger than it may end up being. A stronger ridge to the north would keep the storm from turning as early and results in a more 'west side' model track. These SHOULD begin to shift east in later runs as the weakness in the ridge is taken into account.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* model question (Irene) disneyfanfl Mon Aug 22 2011 01:20 PM
. * * Re: model question (Irene) MikeCAdministrator   Mon Aug 22 2011 01:42 PM
. * * Re: model question (Irene) Lamar-Plant City   Mon Aug 22 2011 01:20 PM

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