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#HurricaneBeryl making landfall on Carriacou Island just shy of #Category5 at 150 MPH and still intensifying. May soon be a Cat 5 if trends continue
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 306 (Idalia) , Major: 306 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 306 (Idalia) Major: 306 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#12 4:00 pm EDT
12.4N 61.3W
Wind: 140MPH
Pres: 956mb
Moving:
Wnw at 20 mph
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Rem Chris
ADV#4 4:00 pm EDT
20.2N 97.8W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
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tpratch
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Posts: 341
Loc: Maryland
Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas
      Wed Aug 24 2011 11:27 AM

Quote:

I asked the question yesterday about Irene heading WNW, well it is still heading basically WNW and yet the NHC has said it is moving NW. Is this a way to make themselves not look wrong with the forcast? I am just looking at all of the coodinates and over the last 4 Irene is still moving well more West than North. Am I missing something?



The fixes have trends and the last one is definitely "toward the northwest" as was the phrasing in the 11am update. I'm not sure what you're seeing to suggest more west than north overall.

16 08/24 5:00 AM 21.6N 72.9W
(.3 north, .4 west)
16A 08/24 8:00 AM 21.9N 73.3W
(.5 north, .4 west)
17 08/24 11:00 AM 22.4N 73.9W

A 3 hour block of movement is sufficient to be a trend - a 6 hour, more so.

We have a NW trend over the past 6 hours - more than sufficient to call for a NW heading.

Edited by tpratch (Wed Aug 24 2011 11:32 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 24 2011 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:47 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:23 PM
. * * NHC's 11:00pm EDT Update StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas cguhr3   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Sheeper   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas GuppieGrouper   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas cguhr3   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas watchinout   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas DougBaker   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas cguhr3   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas WesnWylie   Wed Aug 24 2011 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas cieldumort   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas vineyardsaker   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas ralphfl   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas JMII   Wed Aug 24 2011 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas okihabu   Wed Aug 24 2011 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas JMII   Wed Aug 24 2011 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas WeatherNut   Wed Aug 24 2011 12:58 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:39 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas tpratch   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:24 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Tazmanian93   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas adam s   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Firebug814   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas scottsvb   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:43 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas JMII   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 07:24 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 07:17 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 06:55 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Tazmanian93   Wed Aug 24 2011 06:29 AM

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