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#HurricaneBeryl making landfall on Carriacou Island just shy of #Category5 at 150 MPH and still intensifying. May soon be a Cat 5 if trends continue
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 306 (Idalia) , Major: 306 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 306 (Idalia) Major: 306 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#12 4:00 pm EDT
12.4N 61.3W
Wind: 140MPH
Pres: 956mb
Moving:
Wnw at 20 mph
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Rem Chris
ADV#4 4:00 pm EDT
20.2N 97.8W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1007mb
Moving:
Wnw at 7 mph
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MikeCAdministrator
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Posts: 4570
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas
      Wed Aug 24 2011 10:06 PM

Quote:

Just noticed that as of the 8pm update the potential track stated by BAMS has shifted farther west, nearly brings the storm into cape canaveral before turning sharp east and heading for open water. Now I know that every other model is saying its not going to come this close to FL but if you look at the past track of Irene the BAMS has been the most consistent for atleast 2/3's of the past track. What is everyones thoughts?



Model discussion really belongs in the forecast lounge, but the BAMM has actually done horrible with Irene (see the history animatios). It tends to do better with weak near systems and not hurricanes. It can be fairly safely be ruled out.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 24 2011 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:47 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:23 PM
. * * NHC's 11:00pm EDT Update StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:04 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas cguhr3   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:26 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Sheeper   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:06 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas GuppieGrouper   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:05 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas cguhr3   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:01 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas watchinout   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas DougBaker   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas cguhr3   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 24 2011 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas WesnWylie   Wed Aug 24 2011 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 07:00 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas cieldumort   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:53 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas vineyardsaker   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:47 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:28 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas ralphfl   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:23 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas StrmTrckrMiami   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas JMII   Wed Aug 24 2011 04:58 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:47 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:34 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 03:15 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas okihabu   Wed Aug 24 2011 02:53 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas JMII   Wed Aug 24 2011 01:30 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas WeatherNut   Wed Aug 24 2011 12:58 PM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:39 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas tpratch   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:24 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Tazmanian93   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:20 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas adam s   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:15 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Firebug814   Wed Aug 24 2011 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas scottsvb   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:43 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas JMII   Wed Aug 24 2011 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 08:19 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 07:24 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 24 2011 07:17 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Random Chaos   Wed Aug 24 2011 06:55 AM
. * * Re: Irene Turning More Northwest Over the Bahamas Tazmanian93   Wed Aug 24 2011 06:29 AM

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