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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico
      Thu Sep 01 2011 11:43 PM

Current guidance is only calling for the gulf system to reach Tropical Storm, but with the gulf at this time of year you can never rule out an unexpected rapid intensification, as has been seen numerous times with previous systems.

The biggest threat by far from that storm is going to be rain, with most models clustering from 2 to 4 days of heavy rain along the gulf coast. A few outliers are showing upwards of a week or more of heavy rain.

All models are fairly well in agreement that there is very little in the way of steering current, which will allow the storm to basically meander around a bit before finally moving north.

--

As for Katia, anyone watching IR? It's growing. More than doubled the size of the CDO since yesterday, and most of that has been within the last 2-3 hours. There is also some very deep convection in the CDO.

Edited by Random Chaos (Thu Sep 01 2011 11:46 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Cat II Katia Continues Northwest - Lee's Remnants Move Into Mississippi MikeCAdministrator Thu Sep 01 2011 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Annular Katia? Ed in Va   Mon Sep 05 2011 08:53 PM
. * * Annular Katia? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Sep 05 2011 01:27 PM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop Random Chaos   Mon Sep 05 2011 11:02 AM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 05 2011 10:52 AM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop Random Chaos   Mon Sep 05 2011 10:32 AM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 05 2011 10:27 AM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop MichaelA   Mon Sep 05 2011 10:18 AM
. * * Katia Eye danielwAdministrator   Mon Sep 05 2011 10:15 AM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop Random Chaos   Mon Sep 05 2011 09:50 AM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop typhoon_tip   Sun Sep 04 2011 03:08 PM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop Random Chaos   Sun Sep 04 2011 01:32 PM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 03 2011 05:10 PM
. * * Re: TS Lee Pressure drop berrywr   Sat Sep 03 2011 03:00 PM
. * * TS Lee Pressure drop danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 03 2011 01:25 PM
. * * Re: Lee Rain Continues as it nears the Central Louisiana Coastline cieldumort   Sat Sep 03 2011 12:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Lee Joeyfl   Sat Sep 03 2011 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Lee MichaelA   Sat Sep 03 2011 10:01 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Lee danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 03 2011 08:06 AM
. * * Tropical Storm Lee danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 03 2011 07:40 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico papaswamp   Sat Sep 03 2011 06:42 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico Random Chaos   Fri Sep 02 2011 08:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico Random Chaos   Fri Sep 02 2011 06:29 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico MichaelA   Fri Sep 02 2011 02:57 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico MichaelA   Fri Sep 02 2011 11:55 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Sep 02 2011 11:40 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico MichaelA   Fri Sep 02 2011 11:31 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico TXEB   Fri Sep 02 2011 11:18 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico JMII   Fri Sep 02 2011 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico doug   Fri Sep 02 2011 10:29 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico javlin   Fri Sep 02 2011 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico MichaelA   Fri Sep 02 2011 09:49 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico Joeyfl   Fri Sep 02 2011 09:33 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico mikethewreck   Fri Sep 02 2011 05:24 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico cieldumort   Fri Sep 02 2011 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico Random Chaos   Thu Sep 01 2011 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico javlin   Thu Sep 01 2011 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Sep 01 2011 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico watchinout   Thu Sep 01 2011 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression 13 Forms in the Gulf of Mexico MichaelA   Thu Sep 01 2011 07:58 PM

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