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#Beryl is now forecast to become a Category 4 hurricane before reaching the Windward islands, those in the Hurricane Warning area should rush preparation to completion today. Also 96L east of Beryl with a 70% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 305 (Idalia) , Major: 305 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 305 (Idalia) Major: 305 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#7A 8:00 am EDT
10.6N 53.9W
Wind: 115MPH
Pres: 968mb
Moving:
W at 21 mph
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MichaelA
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 945
Loc: Pinellas Park, FL
Re: Watching the NW Caribbean Invest 95L & Central Atlantic Disturbance
      Sat Oct 15 2011 09:25 PM

A little unusual for a mid-Atlantic disturbance at this time of year. Convection has increased this evening near that one.

Models seem to indicate that 95L will drift over the Yucatan and the southern Bay of Campeche before it merges with an approaching cold front dropping into the Gulf of Mexico in the Tuesday/Wednesday period. I don't see much development with that this PM and shear appears to be rather high in that region.

--------------------
Michael

PWS

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 95L in Gulf of Mexico, LLC & Convection Separated Monday AM cieldumort Sat Oct 15 2011 09:25 PM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2011 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. doug   Mon Oct 17 2011 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. adam s   Mon Oct 17 2011 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 16 2011 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. CDMOrlando   Sun Oct 16 2011 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching the NW Caribbean Invest 95L & Central Atlantic Disturbance MichaelA   Sat Oct 15 2011 09:25 PM

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