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Tonight "the calm before the storm" and time to finish preps. Even now, high precipitable water and instability values ahead of Beryl are triggering flash flood threats with rainfall rates up to over 3"/Hr #Beryl #TXWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 311 (Idalia) , Major: 311 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 311 (Idalia) Major: 311 (Idalia)
TS Beryl
ADV#34A 7:00 am EDT
24.9N 94.3W
Wind: 60MPH
Pres: 995mb
Moving:
Nw at 13 mph
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CDMOrlando
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 57
Loc: seminole cnty florida
Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week.
      Sun Oct 16 2011 12:49 PM

Winds are northeast in Cancun and southwest at a buoy 130 miles off the coast. A ship in the Yucatan Channel reported 44mph sustained winds a little bit ago. The circulation isn't very tight yet, but there are T.S. force winds on the north side.

We may have a tropical storm sitting just off the coast right now, but the elongated tail to the southwest may make the NHC wait for some more organization to classify it.

Whether we will get a classified system remains to be seen. Any system that does form may not have ample opportunity to get very strong, but either way Florida will be in for a very heavy tropical rain event as a front dives down from the northwest and drags whatever is sitting in the Caribbean northeastward.

Also note, recon tomorrow is directed to 21.0N 86.0W which is over water and east of the Yucatan.

Edited by CDMOrlando (Sun Oct 16 2011 12:54 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 95L in Gulf of Mexico, LLC & Convection Separated Monday AM cieldumort Sun Oct 16 2011 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2011 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. doug   Mon Oct 17 2011 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. adam s   Mon Oct 17 2011 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. MikeCAdministrator   Sun Oct 16 2011 09:29 PM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. CDMOrlando   Sun Oct 16 2011 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching the NW Caribbean Invest 95L & Central Atlantic Disturbance MichaelA   Sat Oct 15 2011 09:25 PM

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