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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 285 (Idalia) , Major: 285 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 285 (Idalia) Major: 285 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks
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scottsvb
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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week.
      Mon Oct 17 2011 03:50 PM

correct.. once the LLC moved into the S GOM late last night... the center then spun off to the SW due to Shear and the flow in the midlevels became more of a trough set up NNE to SW from along the Yucitan NE to S Florida. LLC was on the western side of the trough so its backing now SW. A new LLC but not tropical in nature will develop later today and tonight further up north of 25N.. probably 26-29N and 85W and become to main non-tropical low as it develop and moves across the Big Bend of Florida and up the east coast. This is a set up normally in March when systems develop over the GOM and pull northward.

What's this mean? Wind.. and T-Storms (non lightning event) and rainfall of up to 6 inches.. so flooding will likely happen.. Winds won't be the factor but it will be breezy on Tuesday into Tuesday night. Weds a strong cold front will dive south and cool temps to 10-15dg below normal .. highs in the 60s north of I-4 on Thurs,Friday.. low-mid 70s south. Lows 40s north of I-4..50s S florida and along west coast up thru Clearwater.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* 95L in Gulf of Mexico, LLC & Convection Separated Monday AM cieldumort Mon Oct 17 2011 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. scottsvb   Mon Oct 17 2011 03:50 PM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. doug   Mon Oct 17 2011 03:27 PM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. adam s   Mon Oct 17 2011 02:10 PM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. MikeCAdministrator   Mon Oct 17 2011 01:29 AM
. * * Re: Northwest Caribbean Likely to Develop This Week. CDMOrlando   Sun Oct 16 2011 04:49 PM
. * * Re: Watching the NW Caribbean Invest 95L & Central Atlantic Disturbance MichaelA   Sun Oct 16 2011 01:25 AM

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