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Archives 2010s >> 2011 News Talkbacks

berrywr
Weather Analyst

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Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL

Re: Tropical Storm Rina in Western Caribbean
Mon Oct 24 2011 12:49 PM

As of 23/1645Z - Rina is in a "sweet" spot. In the here and now Rina cannot advance north or she'll be sheared apart in quick fashion. Winds aloft to her north are from the WSW at 60 knots, near 70 closer to FL. Water vapor imagery has very, very dry air to her NW off the GOM coasts of TX, LA and in the short term steering currents are next to nil. Rina does look good on satellite but slow moving systems will generate upwelling...cooler water and thus rapid intensification is highly unlikely; there too is interaction with land...the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize. Upcoming upper air pattern for later in the week is not as amplified as the onset of the most recent cool snap over the eastern USA; however the cooler temperatures will be on par. SSTs over FL are much cooler than the 30C/86F Rina is over. Given that Rina will be down there for most of this week; there's no reliable model data that can tell us where Rina is going and in this particular lounge it would be unwise to suggest these possibilities until later in the week.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Rina Sheared Apart	MikeC	Mon Oct 24 2011 12:49 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina Encountering Shear & Dry Air As It Turns Northwest	MikeC	Wed Oct 26 2011 08:15 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina Encountering Shear & Dry Air As It Turns Northwest	Ed Dunham	Wed Oct 26 2011 01:12 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina Strengthening and Moving Slowly	LoisCane	Wed Oct 26 2011 12:17 AM
Re: Hurricane Rina Strengthening and Moving Slowly	danielw	Tue Oct 25 2011 09:12 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina Strengthening and Moving Slowly	danielw	Tue Oct 25 2011 08:19 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina Strengthening and Moving Slowly	cieldumort	Tue Oct 25 2011 07:40 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina Currently Stationary in NW Caribbean Sea	cieldumort	Tue Oct 25 2011 02:51 AM
Re: Hurricane Rina in Western Caribbean	danielw	Mon Oct 24 2011 04:01 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina in Western Caribbean	doug	Mon Oct 24 2011 03:55 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina in Western Caribbean	Ed Dunham	Mon Oct 24 2011 03:51 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina in Western Caribbean	danielw	Mon Oct 24 2011 03:31 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina Currently Stationary in NW Caribbean Sea	Ed Dunham	Mon Oct 24 2011 03:02 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina in Western Caribbean	adam s	Mon Oct 24 2011 02:40 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina Currently Stationary in NW Caribbean Sea	Owlguin	Mon Oct 24 2011 02:40 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina in Western Caribbean	scottsvb	Mon Oct 24 2011 02:32 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina in Western Caribbean	MikeC	Mon Oct 24 2011 02:29 PM
Re: Hurricane Rina in Western Caribbean	Ed in Va	Mon Oct 24 2011 02:28 PM
Hurricane Rina in Western Caribbean	danielw	Mon Oct 24 2011 02:12 PM
Re: Slow Moving Tropical Storm Rina	CDMOrlando	Mon Oct 24 2011 02:09 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Rina in Western Caribbean	danielw	Mon Oct 24 2011 02:03 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Rina in Western Caribbean	berrywr	Mon Oct 24 2011 12:49 PM
Re: Tropical Storm Rina in Western Caribbean	WeatherNut	Mon Oct 24 2011 12:03 PM
Re: Slow Moving Tropical Storm Rina	adam s	Mon Oct 24 2011 12:02 PM

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