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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Sean Moving Closer to Bermuda
      Thu Nov 10 2011 03:53 PM

Tropical Storm Sean has taken more of a turn to the east northeast under increasing westerly shear - evident on satellite imagery Thursday afternoon - which could put the storm just northwest of Bermuda, if that trend continues, around sunrise Friday morning. This motion would also delay the onset of passage over rapidly cooler SSTs. Some additional intensification is still possible prior to Friday afternoon, and strong tropical storm force winds are likely on Bermuda later tonight and Friday morning.

There is also a chance that the strong upper level westerly shear could decouple the system and expose the low level center - which would weaken the system somewhat before it gets close to Bermuda, but tropical storm force winds would still be expected on the island.
ED

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Sean Will Pass NW of Bermuda - Then Get Absorbed by Front Ed DunhamAdministrator Thu Nov 10 2011 03:53 PM
. * * Sean Moving Closer to Bermuda Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Nov 10 2011 03:53 PM
. * * Re: Sean Nearly a Hurricane cieldumort   Wed Nov 09 2011 04:07 PM
. * * Re: Whew!!! Rob Moser   Sun Oct 30 2011 09:13 PM

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