Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season Begins on June 1st, 2022. Normal Tropical Weather Outlooks Resume May 15th.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 127 (Nicholas) , Major: 143 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1197 (Michael) Major: 1197 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2012 Storm Forum

cieldumort
Moderator


Reged: Mon
Posts: 2114
Loc: Austin, Tx
Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Beryl
      Wed May 23 2012 03:16 AM

Pre-Season Invest 94L


It is perhaps noteworthy that we are not yet even in June and are now following the fifth Invest of the year, and third just this month.

A persistent trough of low pressure in the northwestern Caribbean has been bubbling up some convection for the past few days and is now being tracked as Invest 94L. 94L really seems to consist of two or three weak lower level circulations (noted by the red "X"s I have placed on the image above) associated with a broad, elongated trough in the region.

Upper level winds are currently less than favorable for any significant development, but may become less unfavorable over the next few days.

Whether or not 94L ever develops into a tropical cyclone, this feature is currently forecast to fester, and only slowly make its way across Cuba, and possibly ultimately across south Florida, as well. In any event, 94L is in a region of steering currents that will likely continue to toss several days of showers and storms to its northeast, whatever may come, and it appears that more of these rains have the potential to become frequent, and heavy.

Given that 94L is land-locked with forecast steering currents that only slowly move it along, it is one to watch, primarily because of its potential for producing excessive rainfalls and resultant flooding.

Extreme south Florida is already under a Flood Watch for the rains which have occurred so far. The total at Miami International Airport was already 9.7" as of 10:00PM on the 22cd.

4:30AM EDT Edit: Added 0645 UTC IR Image
As can be seen in the image above, almost all of the deep convection associated with the surface trough is displaced well to its east tonight.

Added: Invest 94L upgraded to Subtropical Storm Beryl on 05/25/2012 at 11:00PM EDT
Added: Subtropical Storm Upgraded to Tropical Storm Beryl on 05/27/2012 at 2:00PM EDT

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Beryl cieldumort Wed May 23 2012 03:16 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Subtropical Storm Beryl Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun May 27 2012 12:28 AM
. * * Beryl Likely By Saturday Morning cieldumort   Fri May 25 2012 10:00 PM
. * * Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Advisories Initiated danielwAdministrator   Fri May 25 2012 10:41 PM
. * * Re: Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Advisories Initiated MichaelA   Sat May 26 2012 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Advisories Initiated k___g   Sat May 26 2012 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Advisories Initiated GlenJohnson   Sat May 26 2012 08:54 PM
. * * Sub-Tropical Storm Beryl Undergoing Phase Transition to Tropical CoconutCandy   Sat May 26 2012 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Sub-Tropical Storm Beryl Undergoing Phase Transition to Tropical Fairhopian   Sat May 26 2012 01:52 PM
. * * Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable cieldumort   Thu May 24 2012 03:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable MichaelA   Thu May 24 2012 06:31 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu May 24 2012 08:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable ftlaudbob   Thu May 24 2012 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable danielwAdministrator   Thu May 24 2012 10:52 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable papaswamp   Fri May 25 2012 03:07 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Florida Invest 94L cieldumort   Thu May 24 2012 01:16 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Caribbean Invest 94L danielwAdministrator   Wed May 23 2012 03:47 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Caribbean Invest 94L cieldumort   Wed May 23 2012 05:05 AM

Extra information
0 registered and 1 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  MikeC, Ed Dunham, danielw 



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 12175

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center